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14645 N Fountain Hills Blvd #217
C+ Composite 60.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,999

14645 N Fountain Hills Blvd #217 · Fountain Hills, AZ 85268
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 715 sqft · Condo public records · 299 Days on market
Built 1988 $294/sqft · 17% below area Est $253k · 17% under $188/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

Key facts

  • $188 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.4% in Fountain Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#45 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Fountain Hills Unified District (4247) (other): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #61 of 249 in AZ (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 299 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $210k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 299 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.29%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,709
List price
$209,999
Delta
-16.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-18,644
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-7,680
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85268

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
448
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $511/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$188
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$459
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,797
Max offer price $209,999
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $427 -5% $368 +0% $308 +5% $249 +10% $189
Rent -10% $135 -5% $222 +0% $308 +5% $394 +10% $481
Rate -1.0pp $414 -0.5pp $362 base $308 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16550 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,970 $2.20 3d 8 0.90mi
16545 E Gunsight Dr #122 Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 2.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 15d 1 1.41mi
16545 E Gunsight Dr #212 Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 400 $1,400 $3.50 6d 1 1.41mi
16545 E Gunsight Dr #223 Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 2.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 15d 1 1.42mi
17031 E El Lago Blvd #2106 Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 649 $3,500 $5.39 25d 1 1.43mi
17031 E El Lago Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 649 $3,050 $4.70 21d 2 1.49mi
17031 E El Lago Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 649 $2,550 $3.93 25d 3 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$188 · $2,256/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,999 Active 299 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,999 Active 298 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,999 Active 297 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,999 Active 296 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,999 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,999 Active 290 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,999 Active 289 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,999 Active 288 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $209,999 Active 285 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,999 Active 284 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,999 Active 283 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,999 Active 282 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,999 Active 281 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $209,999 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

  15. 2026-01-28
    price $214,999 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

  16. 2025-08-23
    listed $229,999 Active 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

  17. 2025-08-20
    price $229,999 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

  18. 2025-08-20
    price $239,999 769-char remark
    Show marketing remark (769 chars)

    Great upper-level unit with stunning views of the beautifully landscaped courtyard and serene patio area below. This one-bedroom gem is in pristine, like-new condition, showcasing upgraded amenities and thoughtful design throughout. Modern Pergo flooring and stylish tile are perfectly placed in all the right areas, adding both durability and charm. The open-concept layout features a bright and inviting living space, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen boasts upgraded appliances, ample cabinetry, and elegant finishes that blend form and function. The spacious bedroom offers comfort and style, while the updated bathroom exudes sophistication. Nestled in a prime location, this unit provides easy access to community amenities and nearby attractions.

  19. 2025-06-21
    historical
  20. 2025-06-19
    status Active
  21. 2025-06-19
    historical
  22. 2025-01-18
    listed $239,999 Active
  23. 2022-03-16
    price $1,875
  24. 2012-10-01
    status Pending
  25. 2012-10-01
    soldstatus $64,000 Closed
  26. 2012-09-28
    soldstatus $64,000
  27. 2012-09-06
    listed $79,900 Active
  28. 2012-09-01
    historical
  29. 2012-08-30
    status Active
  30. 2012-08-22
    status Pending
  31. 2012-08-08
    price $79,900
  32. 2012-07-23
    price $89,900 Active
  33. 2012-07-23
    status Active
  34. 2012-01-18
    historical
  35. 2012-01-03
    listed $164,900 Active
  36. 2010-04-03
    historical
  37. 2009-03-26
    listed $109,900 Active
  38. 2008-03-31
    historical
  39. 2006-10-07
    listed $149,900
  40. 1997-10-20
    soldstatus $67,000
  41. 1988-09-26
    soldstatus $56,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$511 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$875/yr (+$73/mo · 171.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥113°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,240
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$511
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,099
− Management
−$2,099
− HOA
−$2,256
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$352
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$84
After-tax cash flow
$3,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fountain Hills Unified District (4247)
NCES district ID
0403040
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$75,038
Composite
36.41/100
National rank
#4677
State rank
#61 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Fountain Hills

Score
69/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#8769

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fountain Hills, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
23,849
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
23,849
Household income
$112,795
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
374.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -205.81%
Current HPI
283.4064
Rent YoY
▲ 1.03%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+272.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $209,999 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $214,999 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Listed $229,999 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $229,999 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $239,999 ARMLS
  • 2025-06-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2025-06-19 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-01-18 Listed $239,999 ARMLS
  • 2022-03-16 Price Changed $1,875 RENT.
  • 2012-10-01 Pending ARMLS
  • 2012-10-01 Sold (MLS) $64,000 ARMLS
  • 2012-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2012-09-06 Listed $79,900 ARMLS
  • 2012-09-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2012-08-30 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2012-08-22 Pending ARMLS
  • 2012-08-08 Price Changed $79,900 ARMLS
  • 2012-07-23 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2012-07-23 Price Changed $89,900 ARMLS
  • 2012-01-18 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2012-01-03 Listed $164,900 ARMLS
  • 2010-04-03 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2009-03-26 Listed $109,900 ARMLS
  • 2008-03-31 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-10-07 Listed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 1997-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 1988-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $56,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $511 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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