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19364 Cliff St
C- Composite 53.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

19364 Cliff St · Detroit, MI 48234
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,615 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1936 4,792 sqft lot Est $141k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Tenant occupied with $1,350/month in rental income. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1936

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property subtype: Single Family Residence
  • Financial info: Not specified
  • HOA & community: Not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.11 acres (35 x 132)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Not specified
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Has heating (forced air, natural gas)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,482/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.90%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,505
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8143 Bliss St 0.37mi 4/1.5 1,728 (+7%) 1mo $151,000 $87 70
7568 Quinn St 0.43mi 4/3.0 1,667 (+3%) 3mo $150,000 $90 66
19721 Spencer St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,800 (+12%) 7mo $164,900 $92 61
19401 Spencer St 0.10mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,385 (-14%) 15mo $149,900 $108 54
18035 Helen St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (+4%) 4mo $150,000 $89 52
4001 E Outer Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-13%) 2mo $105,000 $75 50
19178 Sherwood St 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,381 (-14%) 8mo $149,000 $108 46
20158 Stotter St 0.54mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,489 (-8%) 9mo $55,777 $37 45
20143 Rogge St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,411 (-13%) 7mo $84,000 $60 42
20178 Stotter ST St 0.56mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,440 (-11%) 7mo $31,096 $22 39
8095 Orion St 0.74mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,703 (+5%) 13mo $135,000 $79 38
20466 Spencer St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,830 (+13%) 1mo $95,000 $52 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-8,953
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$25,280
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$378 /mo · $4,541/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,375
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,394 $1.13 43d 1 0.44mi
18961 Teppert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 2015 $1,250 $0.62 12d 1 1.02mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 1.08mi
18947 Runyon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1614 $1,100 $0.68 43d 1 1.08mi
18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 1d 1 1.12mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 16d 1 1.18mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 1d 1 1.18mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 4d 1 1.32mi
11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 1.41mi
7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,100 $0.78 4d 1 1.43mi
7584 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 5.0 1.0 1554 $1,800 $1.16 24d 1 1.43mi
7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1730 $1,700 $0.98 24d 1 1.44mi
7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1234 $1,400 $1.13 16d 1 1.45mi
20290 Annott St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 17d 1 1.47mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,595 $1.38 43d 1 1.48mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,595 $1.38 1d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 88-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,541 · $378/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,541 · $378/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,782
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$4,541
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$208
After-tax cash flow
$1,224/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+78.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-29 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-29 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,541 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…