819 98th Ave N · Naples Park, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$568,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * * MOTIVATED SELLER * * * Welcome to Naples Park! Location, Location, Location! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is ideally located just minutes from Vanderbilt Beach. No HOA Fees! Featuring endless possibilities and a NEW HVAC, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Upon entering, you’ll step into a bright and inviting Florida room that flows seamlessly into the living area and eat-in kitchen. The primary bedroom includes an ensuite bathroom for added privacy. Two additional bedrooms and a full guest bath are situated on the opposite side of the home—an ideal layout for family or guests. Outside, enjoy a spacious fenced-in backyard perfect for pets, play, or
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions and measurements per Property Appraiser Office; Approximately 0.15 acres
- HOA & community: Non-gated community; No HOA maintenance (see remarks for community amenities)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residential; 1 story (ranch); Rear exposure faces south; Developed in the Naples Park community
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1978
- Exterior features: Patio; Shutters for storm protection; Stucco exterior; Windows — see remarks; Regular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms with a split bedroom layout
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with tub-and-shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Screened lanai/porch; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Automatic garage door opener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $568k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $568k).
- Recommended offer: $534k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#696 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, employment B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 679 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,835/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($119k/yr) (locally 237% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $159k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($534k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.12%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $38,063
- Equity at exit
- $84,691
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $318,843
- Equity at exit
- $49,110
Cash invested: $159,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34108
- Rents YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 679
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,979
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$710 /mo · $8,520/yr
- Insurance
- −$237
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,435
- Net cashflow
- $1,474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $142,000
- Closing costs
- $17,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 99th Ave N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1781 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 856 98th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $4,500 | $2.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 793 97th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $10,500 | $6.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 10022 8th St N Unit B Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $2,225 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 10022 8th St N Unit 22 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,250 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 772 100th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $3,200 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 768 96th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $11,500 | $6.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 751 100th Ave N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $4,000 | $4.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 794 95th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $6,500 | $3.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 757 101st Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $3,900 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 757 95th Ave N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 799 94th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $5,000 | $2.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 791 94th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $9,000 | $6.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 717 95th Ave N Unit 1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 856 104th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $3,750 | $2.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 690 100th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $12,500 | $6.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 736 94th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $3,500 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 684 98th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $4,500 | $2.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 671 100th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $5,500 | $4.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 682 95th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $12,500 | $7.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 660 100th Ave N Unit 1404250P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $6,068 | $3.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 691 102nd Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $7,000 | $5.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 663 100th Ave N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,650 | $2.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 731 104th Ave N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $12,000 | $8.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1265 Egrets Lndg #201 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $7,500 | $4.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1265 Egrets Lndg #101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $3,100 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 671 94th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $6,800 | $4.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 648 96th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $12,000 | $6.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 749 105th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $4,000 | $2.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 707 104th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $14,500 | $8.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 749 91st Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1417 | $3,750 | $2.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 834 Gulf Pavilion Dr #204 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $5,000 | $3.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 834 Gulf Pavilion Dr #204 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $8,000 | $5.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 840 Gulf Pavilion Dr #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $5,500 | $4.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 714 105th Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $4,150 | $2.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 822 Gulf Pavilion Dr #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $6,500 | $5.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1061 Egrets Walk Cir #201 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $8,500 | $4.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1190 Egrets Walk Cir #103 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1507 | $8,000 | $5.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 737 91st Ave N Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $12,750 | $8.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 645 95th Ave N Unit 1 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $2,750 | $2.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $568,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $568,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $568,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $568,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $568,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $568,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $568,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $568,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $568,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $568,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $568,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $568,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $568,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $568,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $568,000
-
2026-05-14status Active
-
2026-04-30status Pending With Contingencies
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-03-26$588,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,817
- − Property taxes
- −$8,520
- − Insurance
- −$2,840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,561
- − Management
- −$6,561
- − Depreciation
- −$16,524
- Taxable income
- $9,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,206
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples Park
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #696
- US rank
- #14564
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naples Park, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,237
- Household income
- $119,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 237.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -587.97%
- Current HPI
- 275.1872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.74%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-3.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $568,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $588,000 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $994 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…