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920 Oliver Springs Hwy
B- Composite 67.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

920 Oliver Springs Hwy · Oak Ridge, TN 37716
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1960 0.26 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

New listing sold as part of an estate. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features hardwood floors throughout, a full unfinished basement with exterior access, and a convenient carport. Ideally located for commuters to Oak Ridge, Clinton, and Oliver Springs. Enjoy the added benefit of a fire station, elementary school, and park located directly across the road.

Key facts

  • Exterior access
  • Hardwood floors
  • Convenient carport

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTEXTERIOR ACCESSCONVENIENT CARPORTLOCATED FOR COMMUTERS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Not attached to another unit; Building area approx. 768 (source: tax records)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Irregular lot; Wooded view / other

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms count not specified
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Wall cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Basement unfinished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.4% in Oak Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#4 in TN, #2,605 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Anderson County (town): math 25% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #75 of 139 in TN (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Grand Oaks Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 330 students, 0% FRL); Norwood Middle School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #231 of 333 statewide, top 70%, 159 students, 0% FRL); Clinton High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 1,126 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 400 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (91 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.41%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$17,921
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$62,564
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37716

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $461/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$575

Break-even live

Break-even rent $873
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
126 Arkansas Ave Oak Ridge, TN 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,600 $1.52 19d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $115,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    status $130,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  14. 2026-03-11
    price $130,000
  15. 2026-02-20
    status Active
  16. 2025-12-15
    historical
  17. 2025-12-12
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$461 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$816 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$356/yr (+$30/mo · 77.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,200
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$461
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$5,305
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,273
After-tax cash flow
$5,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anderson County
NCES district ID
4700090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,541
Composite
22.68/100
National rank
#8043
State rank
#75 of 139 in TN

Livability — Oak Ridge

Score
78/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#2605

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
33,038
Population (ZIP)
26,361

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,963 people
By 2030
77,226 · +0.3%
By 2040
76,905 · -0.1%
By 2050
75,405 · -2.0%
By 2075
70,858 · -7.9%
By 2100
60,585 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.5% · R 67.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.01%
Current HPI
364.842
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $130,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listing Removed Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $150,000 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $461 · +43.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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