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18456 Aurora St
D- Composite 38.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,990

18456 Aurora St · Omaha, NE 68136
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · SingleFamily · 48 Days on market
Built 2026 9,627 sqft lot $217/sqft · 11% below area Est $366k · 11% under $56/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Ample counter space
  • Generous island

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGENEROUS ISLANDAMPLE COUNTER SPACELARGE WINDOWSCOZY ELECTRIC FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-483 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (21.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (29.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Gretna Public Schools (suburban): math 64% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #6 of 111 in NE (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,612 units permitted in Sarpy County in 2024 (364 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarpy County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $230,273 (29.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.37%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,582
List price
$324,990
Delta
-11.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8817 S 185th St 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,498 (0%) 6mo $349,990 $234 88
8406 S 183rd Ave 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,498 (0%) 9mo $399,990 $267 79
8623 S 178 St 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,507 (+1%) 2mo $398,247 $264 73
8502 S 184th Ave 0.12mi 3/3.5 1,659 (+11%) 2mo $399,990 $241 69
8616 S 178 St 0.47mi 3/2.5 1,507 (+1%) 8mo $402,753 $267 69
8629 S 177 Ave 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,533 (+2%) 5mo $405,902 $265 67
19105 Greenleaf St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,477 (-1%) 2mo $360,000 $244 63
17769 Portal St 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,533 (+2%) 8mo $393,679 $257 62
9221 S 177th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,507 (+1%) 8mo $385,000 $255 60
8413 S 179 St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,607 (+7%) 8mo $373,566 $232 56
8417 S 179 St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,389 (-7%) 9mo $383,376 $276 55
8628 S 177 Ave 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,640 (+10%) 5mo $360,966 $220 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.0%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-80,718
Equity at exit
$48,457
10-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-98,585
Equity at exit
$28,099

Cash invested: $90,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68136

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,303 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$56
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$-483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,914
Max offer price $255,132
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,248
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18217 Cary St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $2,625 $2.54 2d 94 0.29mi
18906 Birch Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1621 $2,300 $1.42 10d 1 0.52mi
18002 Margo St Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1643 $2,200 $1.34 43d 1 0.95mi
19224 Olive Plz Gretna, NE 2.0 2.0 1149 $1,645 $1.43 2d 1 1.20mi
18192 Hayes Ct Unit 18192 Omaha, NE 2.0 2.0 1059 $1,950 $1.84 14d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$56 · $672/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

  2. 2026-04-24
    price $324,990 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

  3. 2026-04-10
    price $321,990 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

  4. 2026-03-27
    price $319,990 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

  5. 2026-03-22
    price $327,990 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

  6. 2026-03-20
    listed $319,990 New 952-char remark
    Show marketing remark (952 chars)

    Welcome to the Hamilton in Windsor West - a charming ranch-style home offering 1,498 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Step into a bright foyer that leads past two spacious secondary bedrooms and a full bath—perfect for family, guests, or a home office setup. The heart of the home is the open-concept kitchen featuring white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a generous island, and ample counter space for cooking and entertaining. The adjoining great room offers large windows that fill the space with natural light and a cozy electric fireplace, making it the ideal gathering place. Tucked privately at the back of the home, the primary suite includes a dual-sink vanity, walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. This home offers comfort, functionality, and style in one beautiful package Call us for a personal tour! Ask about builder incentives with preferred lender. Photos similar to

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,633
− Mortgage interest
−$18,204
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,211
− Management
−$2,211
− HOA
−$672
− Depreciation
−$9,454
Taxable loss
−$11,619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,789
After-tax cash flow
$-3,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gretna Public Schools
NCES district ID
3171220
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$89,845
Composite
58.21/100
National rank
#1023
State rank
#6 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sarpy County · 161,202 people
City population
552,986
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
Population (ZIP)
22,163
Household income
$133,472
Rent vs Own
10.8% rent · 89.2% own
Severe rent burden
166.0

Population outlook (Sarpy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,769 people
By 2030
229,365 · +8.3%
By 2040
264,122 · +24.7%
By 2050
298,087 · +40.8%
By 2075
381,667 · +80.2%
By 2100
448,180 · +111.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Vietnamese 3% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarpy

2024 margin
R (+11.7) · D 43.5% · R 55.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -15.9pp · 2024: -11.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.7 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+15.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.33%
Current HPI
226.8096
Rent YoY
▲ 4.12%
Metro
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $324,990 GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $321,990 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $319,990 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $327,990 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $319,990 GPRMLS

Property tax history

-9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $364 · -9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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