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316 W Mount Vernon
B Composite 70.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

316 W Mount Vernon · Titusville, PA 16354
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 226 Days on market
Built 1900 6,534 sqft lot $32/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a winter project that is sure to procure and investor. The home has great bones with plumb walls, nice room sizes and beautiful pine floors just ready for polishing. A full basement with refrigerator adds space for storage and wonderful sunporch offers space for relaxing with your morning coffee. You will find that work has been started, with wall insulation, replacement windows, drywall, a new roof in 2021 and some new plumbing. There is work that has been completed and is now ready for drywall and someone with an eye for decorating. Electric upgraded to 200 amp and any existing knob and tube is no long actrice. The kitchen could be expanded into the living room creating a great open floor plan. Property is in flood zone, but that side of the street has never flooded during seller's ownership. An engineer's elevation study will likely show that the flood zone is below the first floor elevat to eliminated the requirement for flood insurance if you are using a lender.

Key facts

  • Electric upgraded
  • Full basement
  • Wonderful sunporch

Tags

FULL BASEMENTWONDERFUL SUNPORCHWALL INSULATIONREPLACEMENT WINDOWSNEW ROOFELECTRIC UPGRADED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 6.7% in Titusville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#104 in PA, #777 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
  • Titusville Area SD (town): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #287 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
24.07%
Cash-on-cash
63.48%
DSCR
3.82
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,950
List price
$39,000
Delta
-51.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Brook St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (0%) 16mo $18,000 $15 67
86 North Dillon Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+3%) 9mo $100,000 $81 60
525 West Walnut St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,204 (+0%) 11mo $84,000 $70 60
622 West Elm St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,200 (0%) 21mo $98,500 $82 59
731 W Elm St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,214 (+1%) 12mo $116,000 $96 55
315 W Elm St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+13%) 13mo $110,000 $81 51
526 W Walnut St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-5%) 20mo $83,000 $73 46
598 Maxwell Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+12%) 8mo $145,000 $108 45
320 N Brown St 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,176 (-2%) 20mo $100,000 $85 41
220 N Monroe St 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,037 (-14%) 13mo $88,000 $85 37
614 Maxwell Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-10%) 20mo $110,500 $102 36
996 National Forge Rd 0.63mi 3/3.0 1,320 (+10%) 14mo $130,000 $98 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$27,008
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
61.0%
Equity multiple
7.10×
Total profit
$66,640
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16354

Home prices YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,040/yr
Insurance
$16
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $459
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $544 -5% $533 +0% $522 +5% $511 +10% $500
Rent -10% $434 -5% $478 +0% $522 +5% $566 +10% $611
Rate -1.0pp $542 -0.5pp $532 base $522 +0.5pp $512 +1.0pp $502

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,000 Active 226 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 214 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $39,000 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,500 Active 209 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,500 Active 208 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,500 Active 207 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,500 Active 206 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    status Active 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Here is a winter project that is sure to procure and investor. The home has great bones with plumb walls, nice room sizes and beautiful pine floors just ready for polishing. A full basement with refrigerator adds space for storage and wonderful sunporch offers space for relaxing with your morning coffee. You will find that work has been started, with wall insulation, replacement windows, drywall, a new roof in 2021 and some new plumbing. There is work that has been completed and is now ready for drywall and someone with an eye for decorating. Electric upgraded to 200 amp and any existing knob and tube is no long actrice. The kitchen could be expanded into the living room creating a great open floor plan. Property is in flood zone, but that side of the street has never flooded during seller's ownership. An engineer's elevation study will likely show that the flood zone is below the first floor elevat to eliminated the requirement for flood insurance if you are using a lender.

  17. 2026-04-01
    price $45,500 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Here is a winter project that is sure to procure and investor. The home has great bones with plumb walls, nice room sizes and beautiful pine floors just ready for polishing. A full basement with refrigerator adds space for storage and wonderful sunporch offers space for relaxing with your morning coffee. You will find that work has been started, with wall insulation, replacement windows, drywall, a new roof in 2021 and some new plumbing. There is work that has been completed and is now ready for drywall and someone with an eye for decorating. Electric upgraded to 200 amp and any existing knob and tube is no long actrice. The kitchen could be expanded into the living room creating a great open floor plan. Property is in flood zone, but that side of the street has never flooded during seller's ownership. An engineer's elevation study will likely show that the flood zone is below the first floor elevat to eliminated the requirement for flood insurance if you are using a lender.

  18. 2026-04-01
    historical 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Here is a winter project that is sure to procure and investor. The home has great bones with plumb walls, nice room sizes and beautiful pine floors just ready for polishing. A full basement with refrigerator adds space for storage and wonderful sunporch offers space for relaxing with your morning coffee. You will find that work has been started, with wall insulation, replacement windows, drywall, a new roof in 2021 and some new plumbing. There is work that has been completed and is now ready for drywall and someone with an eye for decorating. Electric upgraded to 200 amp and any existing knob and tube is no long actrice. The kitchen could be expanded into the living room creating a great open floor plan. Property is in flood zone, but that side of the street has never flooded during seller's ownership. An engineer's elevation study will likely show that the flood zone is below the first floor elevat to eliminated the requirement for flood insurance if you are using a lender.

  19. 2025-11-06
    listed $52,500 Active 990-char remark
    Show marketing remark (990 chars)

    Here is a winter project that is sure to procure and investor. The home has great bones with plumb walls, nice room sizes and beautiful pine floors just ready for polishing. A full basement with refrigerator adds space for storage and wonderful sunporch offers space for relaxing with your morning coffee. You will find that work has been started, with wall insulation, replacement windows, drywall, a new roof in 2021 and some new plumbing. There is work that has been completed and is now ready for drywall and someone with an eye for decorating. Electric upgraded to 200 amp and any existing knob and tube is no long actrice. The kitchen could be expanded into the living room creating a great open floor plan. Property is in flood zone, but that side of the street has never flooded during seller's ownership. An engineer's elevation study will likely show that the flood zone is below the first floor elevat to eliminated the requirement for flood insurance if you are using a lender.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,040 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,040 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,444
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$1,040
− Insurance
−$861
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$6,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,457
After-tax cash flow
$4,808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Titusville Area SD
NCES district ID
4223490
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,179
Composite
37.43/100
National rank
#4418
State rank
#287 of 539 in PA

Livability — Titusville

Score
84/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#777

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Titusville, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,120

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.41%
Current HPI
221.8311
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $45,500 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-01 Delisted AVBREALTORS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $52,500 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,040 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…