Duplex
18 Depot St · Chateaugay, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$152,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled duplex in Chateaugay Village. Building was stripped to studs and rebuilt. Everything is new including electrical, plumbing, doors, windows, flooring, spray foam insulation, appliances, propane monitor heaters. New vinyl siding is being installed and will be complete for sale. Newer metal roof. Coin operated laundry on site. 1 four bedroom and 1 three bedroom apartments. Garage.
Key facts
- Remodeled duplex
- New plumbing
- New doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×4bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $180/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#694 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Chateaugay Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #515 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.11%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,965
- List price
- $152,900
- Delta
- 22.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $52,505
- Equity at exit
- $80,530
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $141,876
- Equity at exit
- $134,172
Cash invested: $42,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12920
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,347/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 4 | 1 | $949 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $851 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,800 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,225
- Closing costs
- $4,587
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $152,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $152,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $152,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $152,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2025-10-11$152,900 Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
Completely remodeled duplex in Chateaugay Village. Building was stripped to studs and rebuilt. Everything is new including electrical, plumbing, doors, windows, flooring, spray foam insulation, appliances, propane monitor heaters. New vinyl siding is being installed and will be complete for sale. Newer metal roof. Coin operated laundry on site. 1 four bedroom and 1 three bedroom apartments. Garage.
-
2024-12-12soldstatus $210,000
-
2024-10-15$199,900 Active
-
2018-11-30soldstatus $8,500
-
2018-01-12$9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,347 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,466 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,565
- − Property taxes
- −$2,347
- − Insurance
- −$764
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$4,448
- Taxable income
- $2,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$485
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,846/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chateaugay Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607080
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,279
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #6803
- State rank
- #515 of 755 in NY
Livability — Chateaugay
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #13108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chateaugay, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,509
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,098 people
- By 2030
- 46,790 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 44,400 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 41,256 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 32,190 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 23,407 · -51.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.33%
- Current HPI
- 300.5209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1509.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-11 Listed $152,900 ACVMLS
- 2024-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-15 Listed $199,900 SLCMLS
- 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) $8,500 ACVMLS
- 2018-01-12 Listed $9,500 ACVMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,347 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…