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14225 Jersey Cow
D- Composite 39.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0

$249,999

14225 Jersey Cow · San Antonio, TX 78252
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,950 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 2023 3,920 sqft lot $128/sqft · at area comps Est $254k · at est. $64/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sellers willing to assist with closing costs! Take advantage of an incredible financial opportunity with a VA assumable loan available for qualified buyer with entitlement-a rare find in today's market! This home is also USDA loan eligible- meaning you could purchase with nothing down! This stunning 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom residence in the highly sought-after Silos Community offers a perfect blend of modern luxury and unparalleled neighborhood convenience. The open layout, first floor features a kitchen with a premium gas cooktop and fridge that conveys with the home. The dining area flows seamlessly into the living area with a modern half bath for convenience. Upstairs you will find a l

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: SILOS UNIT #1; Possession at closing/funding
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA fee $765 annually; Association transfer fee $375

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water and sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned single-family home built by Lennar (approximately 3 years old); Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Built by Lennar; Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Approximately 3 years old
  • Exterior features: Siding exterior; Street paved with curbs, gutters and sidewalks; Streetlights; Community pool, clubhouse, park/playground, BBQ/grill

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooking; Stove/Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet and full bath (16 x 12); Bedroom 2 (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 (12 x 12); Bedroom 4 (12 x 12)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bath; Master bathroom with tub/shower combination and single vanity (14 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan with high ceilings; Two living areas; Separate dining room; Loft (2nd level); Utility room inside; All bedrooms on upper level; Walk-in closets; Laundry on upper level; Attic with pull-down stairs and storage; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Some window coverings remain; Solid countertops; Smoke alarm; Vent fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry located on upper level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (14.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (26.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lacoste El (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 744 students, 69% FRL); Medina Valley Middle (math 47% / reading 49%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 1,029 students, 62% FRL); Medina Valley H S (math 34% / reading 55%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,147 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-4 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,946 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.53%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,309
List price
$249,999
Delta
-1.69%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7306 King Bnd 0.36mi 4/3.0 1,912 (-2%) 3mo $318,990 $167 75
7242 King Bnd 0.42mi 4/3.0 1,912 (-2%) 1mo $326,990 $171 74
7231 King Bnd 0.45mi 4/3.0 1,912 (-2%) 2mo $321,990 $168 72
7715 Fox Xing 0.43mi 4/2.5 2,121 (+9%) 2mo $307,990 $145 64
7714 Fox Xing 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,826 (-6%) 2mo $289,990 $159 63
7727 Fox Xing 0.45mi 4/2.5 2,121 (+9%) 2mo $306,990 $145 63
7704 Fern Pass 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,826 (-6%) 3mo $287,990 $158 62
13811 Buffalo Vly 0.66mi 4/2.5 1,867 (-4%) 1mo $249,999 $134 62
7738 Fox Xing 0.48mi 4/2.5 2,121 (+9%) 3mo $289,990 $137 61
7018 Sycamore Pass 0.66mi 4/2.5 2,206 (+13%) 1mo $369,990 $168 46
13774 Birch Xing 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,209 (+13%) 1mo $329,990 $149 43
13714 Birch Xing 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,689 (-13%) 3mo $319,990 $189 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,834
Equity at exit
$72,570
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-27,414
Equity at exit
$87,214

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78252

Home prices YoY
-0.0%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
555
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,829 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,065/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$64
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,090
Max offer price $213,611
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-64 -5% $-135 +0% $-206 +5% $-277 +10% $-348
Rent -10% $-351 -5% $-278 +0% $-206 +5% $-134 +10% $-61
Rate -1.0pp $-80 -0.5pp $-142 base $-206 +0.5pp $-271 +1.0pp $-337

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7216 Pasture Run San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1647 $1,525 $0.93 6d 1 0.07mi
7218 Duck Pond San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1492 $1,575 $1.06 23d 1 0.10mi
7231 Duck Pond San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1492 $1,750 $1.17 6d 1 0.11mi
7218 Ox Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1492 $1,495 $1.00 4d 1 0.13mi
7218 Ox Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1492 $1,495 $1.00 23d 1 0.13mi
7247 Ox Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 6d 1 0.16mi
13942 Bull Cv San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $2,200 $1.13 45d 1 0.20mi
14234 Llama Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1244 $1,500 $1.21 45d 1 0.21mi
13922 Wool Park San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,450 $1.02 25d 1 0.21mi
7258 Plow Run San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,575 $1.21 45d 1 0.22mi
7258 Plow Run San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,475 $1.13 25d 1 0.22mi
14010 Wool Park San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,850 $0.95 19d 1 0.24mi
7415 Donkey Vly San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,500 $1.22 45d 1 0.24mi
14007 Wool Park San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1950 $1,599 $0.82 45d 1 0.25mi
13802 Ostrich Run San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 19d 1 0.33mi
6741 Hatchery Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,811 $1.08 45d 1 0.34mi
6738 Hatchery Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,585 $1.09 45d 1 0.37mi
7226 Cultivator Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,497 $1.15 25d 1 0.37mi
6734 Hatchery Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,741 $1.04 45d 1 0.37mi
6728 Beehive Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,596 $0.95 14d 1 0.38mi
6711 Hatchery Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,606 $1.10 14d 1 0.39mi
6683 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,475 $1.02 0d 1 0.41mi
7371 Cultivator Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1880 $1,495 $0.80 25d 1 0.41mi
6743 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1910 $1,921 $1.01 45d 1 0.42mi
13930 Silos Mdws San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1616 $1,650 $1.02 14d 1 0.43mi
6638 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,479 $0.91 6d 1 0.48mi
6612 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,895 $1.16 0d 1 0.52mi
6603 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,506 $1.05 45d 1 0.54mi
6432 Pickaxe Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,351 $1.07 25d 1 0.57mi
6432 Pickaxe Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,285 $1.01 19d 1 0.57mi
6524 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1657 $1,556 $0.94 25d 1 0.57mi
6515 Scarecrow Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,565 $0.96 25d 1 0.59mi
6512 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1687 $1,671 $0.99 25d 1 0.60mi
6511 Arid Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1687 $1,650 $0.98 0d 1 0.60mi
7063 Sycamore Pass San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1866 $1,950 $1.05 22d 1 0.70mi
6623 Whisper Pond San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2243 $1,950 $0.87 19d 1 0.74mi
6623 Whisper Pond San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2252 $1,950 $0.87 45d 1 0.74mi
6814 Rondo Measure San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2252 $1,850 $0.82 25d 1 0.76mi
14739 Sycamore Xing San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1734 $2,300 $1.33 6d 1 0.76mi
6835 Capriccio Spirit San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1512 $1,700 $1.12 23d 1 0.77mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$64 · $768/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,999 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,999 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,999 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,999 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,999 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,999 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,999 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,999 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,999 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,999 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,999 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,999 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,999 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $249,999 New 1583-char remark
  16. 2026-04-30
    historical
  17. 2026-02-15
    price $264,500
  18. 2026-01-15
    price $265,000
  19. 2025-11-29
    price $270,000
  20. 2025-10-31
    listed $275,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,065 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,575 · $381/mo
Expected delta
+$2,510/yr (+$209/mo · 121.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,954
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$2,065
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,756
− Management
−$1,756
− HOA
−$768
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$6,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,660
After-tax cash flow
$-811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Medina Valley ISD
NCES district ID
4830060
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$60,596
Composite
44.2/100
National rank
#2851
State rank
#148 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
21,790
Household income
$85,518
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
152.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 29% White 17% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 61% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 38% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▬ -0.00%
Current HPI
183.6413
Rent YoY
▼ -1.67%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $249,999 LERA
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $264,500 LERA
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $265,000 LERA
  • 2025-11-29 Price Changed $270,000 LERA
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $275,000 LERA

Property tax history

+58.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,065 · -21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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