330 Palmer Hill Rd · Chenango Bridge, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 330 Palmer Hill Road, a peaceful 2-acre property located in the scenic countryside of Port Crane, NY. This parcel offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential, all while remaining within reach of local amenities, schools, shopping, and major routes. The property includes a single-wide manufactured home that features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. The home is set on a generous lot that offers open space, natural surroundings, and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a rural getaway, a site to build your future home, or an investment opportunity, this land presents endless possibilities.
Key facts
- 2 acre property
- 2.02 acre lot
- Built 1980
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.0% in Chenango Bridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#505 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Chenango Forks Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #317 of 590 in NY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.86%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $80,190
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.77×
- Total profit
- $215,462
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13833
- Home prices YoY
- 15.7%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $915/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 350 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 343 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 342 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 340 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2025-09-30price $99,000 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Welcome to 330 Palmer Hill Road, a peaceful 2-acre property located in the scenic countryside of Port Crane, NY. This parcel offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential, all while remaining within reach of local amenities, schools, shopping, and major routes. The property includes a single-wide manufactured home that features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. The home is set on a generous lot that offers open space, natural surroundings, and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a rural getaway, a site to build your future home, or an investment opportunity, this land presents endless possibilities.
-
2025-07-24price $120,000 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Welcome to 330 Palmer Hill Road, a peaceful 2-acre property located in the scenic countryside of Port Crane, NY. This parcel offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential, all while remaining within reach of local amenities, schools, shopping, and major routes. The property includes a single-wide manufactured home that features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. The home is set on a generous lot that offers open space, natural surroundings, and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a rural getaway, a site to build your future home, or an investment opportunity, this land presents endless possibilities.
-
2025-07-02$140,000 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Welcome to 330 Palmer Hill Road, a peaceful 2-acre property located in the scenic countryside of Port Crane, NY. This parcel offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential, all while remaining within reach of local amenities, schools, shopping, and major routes. The property includes a single-wide manufactured home that features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. The home is set on a generous lot that offers open space, natural surroundings, and room to grow. Whether you're looking for a rural getaway, a site to build your future home, or an investment opportunity, this land presents endless possibilities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,294 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$379/yr (+$32/mo · 41.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$915
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,275
- − Management
- −$1,275
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$853
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chenango Forks Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607260
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,346
- Composite
- 46.46/100
- National rank
- #2442
- State rank
- #317 of 590 in NY
Livability — Chenango Bridge
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #505
- US rank
- #8828
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,176
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.75%
- Current HPI
- 300.1045
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-29.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $99,000 GBAOR
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $120,000 GBAOR
- 2025-07-02 Listed $140,000 GBAOR
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $915 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…