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10661 Berry Branch Ln
C Composite 57.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$238,900

10661 Berry Branch Ln · Bryan, TX 77845
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,346 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $264k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Some images shown may be from a previously built Stylecraft home of similar design. Actual options, colors, and selections may vary. Contact us for details! This two-story townhome offers a smart, efficient layout beginning with an open living room that welcomes you upon entry. To the left, a one-car garage connects to a small hallway that includes a convenient powder room. Beyond the living space is a galley-style kitchen featuring a walk-in pantry, with the staircase to the second floor located nearby. A back door sits just off the kitchen for easy outdoor access. Upstairs, you'll find three bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a utility closet, all designed for everyday convenience. Each be

Key facts

  • Open living room
  • Utility closet
  • Walk in closet

Tags

OPEN LIVING ROOMGALLEY STYLE KITCHENWALK IN PANTRYEASY OUTDOOR ACCESSUTILITY CLOSETWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $238,900

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
  • Home design: Single-family property; The 1340 floor plan
  • Exterior features: Address: 10661 Berry Branch Ln, College Station, TX 77845

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Interior features: Spec home (The 1340 plan); Living area approximately 1,346

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities C-.
  • Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1168 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,566 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.11%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$263,816
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10650 Knox Landing Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,415 (+5%) 1mo $268,895 $190 65
10700 Blocker Ct 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 10mo $279,900 $194 58
10709 Blocker Ct 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 9mo $302,900 $209 56
4533 Wisenbaker Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 2mo $289,900 $200 54
4499 Wisenbaker Way 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 8mo $274,900 $190 52
4525 Wisenbaker Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 5mo $274,900 $190 52
10717 Blocker Ct 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 7mo $298,900 $198 48
4521 Wisenbaker Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 3mo $289,900 $192 46
4513 Wisenbaker Way 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 13mo $290,900 $201 45
4527 Wisenbaker Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 3mo $289,900 $192 45
4509 Wisenbaker Way 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 13mo $299,900 $199 38
4517 Wisenbaker Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 13mo $294,900 $196 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-16,667
Equity at exit
$35,621
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$14,912
Equity at exit
$20,656

Cash invested: $66,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77845

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
1168
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,521 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax est. 1.5%
$299 /mo · $3,584/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,090
Max offer price $238,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,725
Closing costs
$7,167
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1720 Summit Crossing Ln College Station, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $2,205 $2.24 13d 46 1.02mi
1762 Dakota Ln Unit 1328094P College Station, TX 3.0 3.0 1506 $2,852 $1.89 21d 1 1.26mi
1761 Dakota Ln College Station, TX 3.0 2.5 1598 $2,250 $1.41 21d 1 1.28mi
3819 Black Hawk Ln Unit 1328095P College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 1162 $4,264 $3.67 13d 1 1.32mi
1424 Crescent Ridge Dr College Station, TX 2.0 2.0 1119 $1,269 $1.13 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $238,900 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $238,900 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $238,900 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $238,900 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $238,900 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $238,900 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $238,900 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $238,900 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $238,900 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $238,900 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $238,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $238,900 Active 67 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,248
− Mortgage interest
−$13,382
− Property taxes
−$3,584
− Insurance
−$1,194
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,420
− Management
−$2,420
− Depreciation
−$6,950
Taxable income
$298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$72
After-tax cash flow
$4,013/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryan ISD
NCES district ID
4811790
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,895
Composite
26.26/100
National rank
#7253
State rank
#608 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bryan

Score
76/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#3341

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bryan, TX
County
Brazos County · 233,400 people
City population
101,772
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
Population (ZIP)
76,764
Household income
$88,851
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
3329.0

Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,942 people
By 2030
296,630 · +10.7%
By 2040
354,560 · +32.3%
By 2050
414,616 · +54.7%
By 2075
562,158 · +109.8%
By 2100
678,828 · +153.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.31%
Current HPI
175.9669
Rent YoY
▲ 3.13%
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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