346 N Maine Ave · Apopka, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home has a lot of potential! It is a fixer upper nestled on a large site. There is a warehouse located on the back portion of the lot behind the main house.
Key facts
- Large site
- 0.48 acre lot
- Built 1946
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($949/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.7% in Apopka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#594 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 662 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.28%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,056
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346 N Maine Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $251 | 99 |
| 486 Spreading Oak Cir | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 998 (-6%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $235 | 72 |
| 551 Moonbeam Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+7%) | 4mo | $258,000 | $228 | 55 |
| 663 O Shea Ct | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 957 (-9%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $287 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-44,129
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-56,022
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32712
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 662
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,078 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 440 Breezeway Dr Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,956 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 220 Bonnie Glen Ln Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $2,175 | $1.91 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 121 Summerset Dr Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,971 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1103 Errol Place Cir Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 852 | $2,099 | $2.46 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 356 W 4th St Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3 E Sandpiper St Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,895 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 930 Loch Carron #1212 Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 63 Jett Loop Apopka, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,050 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1106 Villa Ln #81 Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,600 | $1.63 | 7d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1118 Villa Ln #87 Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,890 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 617 E 1st St Apopka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $2,195 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13soldstatus $265,000
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2026-03-12price $265,000
-
2026-03-05$255,000 Active
-
1975-06-01soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $750 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,449/yr (+$121/mo · 193.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,995
- − Management
- −$1,995
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$3,681
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$884
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Apopka
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #594
- US rank
- #11020
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 109,852
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,583
- Household income
- $108,734
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 876.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 19% Black 16% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.12%
- Current HPI
- 283.4441
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.09%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1259.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1975-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $750 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…