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104 Forrest St
A- Composite 81.1
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$35,000

104 Forrest St · Petrolia, PA 16050
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,752 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1927 3,920 sqft lot Est $54k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This triplex is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it does requires some TLC, this property could be transformed into a family home or continue to serve as an investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex with an apartment on each level including the basement. Perfect for someone to add to their investment portfolio.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1927

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,304 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, health & safety C-.
  • Karns City Area SD (rural): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #322 of 539 in PA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $452 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.74%
Cap rate
31.20%
Cash-on-cash
88.95%
DSCR
4.96
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$54,312
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 Jamison St 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,896 (+8%) 17mo $8,200 $4 56
148 Forrest St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,536 (-12%) 22mo $47,500 $31 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.6%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$43,233
Equity at exit
$7,962
10-year hold
IRR
92.7%
Equity multiple
11.19×
Total profit
$99,852
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16050

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,326/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$726

Break-even live

Break-even rent $391
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This triplex is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it does requires some TLC, this property could be transformed into a family home or continue to serve as an investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex with an apartment on each level including the basement. Perfect for someone to add to their investment portfolio.

  2. 2026-04-08
    status Pending 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This triplex is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it does requires some TLC, this property could be transformed into a family home or continue to serve as an investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex with an apartment on each level including the basement. Perfect for someone to add to their investment portfolio.

  3. 2026-03-31
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This triplex is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it does requires some TLC, this property could be transformed into a family home or continue to serve as an investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex with an apartment on each level including the basement. Perfect for someone to add to their investment portfolio.

  4. 2026-03-31
    listed $35,000 Active 375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (375 chars)

    This triplex is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it does requires some TLC, this property could be transformed into a family home or continue to serve as an investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex with an apartment on each level including the basement. Perfect for someone to add to their investment portfolio.

  5. 2025-12-31
    historical Expired 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  6. 2025-12-31
    historical Expired
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  7. 2025-12-03
    price $45,000 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  8. 2025-12-03
    price $45,000
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  9. 2025-07-18
    price $50,000 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  10. 2025-07-18
    price $50,000
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  11. 2025-05-21
    price $55,000 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  12. 2025-05-21
    price $55,000
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  13. 2025-04-03
    listed $60,000 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  14. 2025-04-03
    listed $60,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    This 4-bedroom, 3-bath home is a diamond in the rough, offering incredible potential for the right buyer. While it requires a little TLC, this property could be transformed into a beautiful family home or serve as an excellent investment opportunity. Currently operating as a triplex and partially rented, it generates income, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to expand their portfolio. With some updates and improvements, this home could realize its full potential. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer with a vision or an experienced investor, this property offers the opportunity to create something special.

  15. 2024-11-01
    soldstatus $34,000 Closed
  16. 2024-10-16
    status Pending
  17. 2024-10-13
    listed $39,000 Active
  18. 2024-07-06
    listed $60,000 Active
  19. 2024-02-19
    listed $60,000 Active
  20. 2008-03-04
    soldstatus $32,000
  21. 2008-02-25
    soldstatus $32,000
  22. 2007-10-29
    listed $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,326 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,326 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,721
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$1,326
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,094
After-tax cash flow
$6,622/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Karns City Area SD
NCES district ID
4209600
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$48,988
Composite
35.99/100
National rank
#4792
State rank
#322 of 539 in PA

Livability — Petrolia

Score
63/100
State rank
#1304
US rank
#16024

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Petrolia, PA
Population (ZIP)
978

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Asian 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.29%
Current HPI
119.2364
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $35,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $45,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $45,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-07-18 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-11-01 Sold (MLS) $34,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-10-16 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2024-10-13 Listed $39,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-07-06 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-02-19 Listed $60,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2008-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2008-02-25 Sold (MLS) $32,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2007-10-29 Listed $34,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,326 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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