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487 S County St
C- Composite 52.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$120,000

487 S County St · Hillman, MI 49746
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Other · 52 Days on market
Built 1925 Fair condition ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready 3 bedroom home with large eat in kitchen spacious living room with wall a/c adjoining dining room with fireplace hardwood flooring under carpeting and tiled bathroom with shower appliances are included natural gas heat municipal water/sewer detached garage and barn shed. Move in at close. Cash Sale. Call 9892625048

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Large eat in kitchen
  • Tiled bathroom

Tags

LARGE EAT IN KITCHENSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMADJOINING DINING ROOMFIREPLACEHARDWOOD FLOORINGTILED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1925; Single-family property
  • Construction: Year built: 1925

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Pantry; Workshop

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#575 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hillman Community Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montmorency County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $111,888 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.95%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$68,851
Equity at exit
$108,106
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
6.95×
Total profit
$200,053
Equity at exit
$233,134

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49746

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $120,000 330-char remark
  17. 2026-04-26
    listed $139,900 Active 330-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,427
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,074
− Management
−$1,074
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$1,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$320
After-tax cash flow
$976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Painting — Paint appears faded in some areas
  • Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn appear uneven

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Painting · Paint appears faded in some areas Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Some areas of the lawn appear uneven Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillman Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618360
Math proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,668
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7368
State rank
#361 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hillman

Score
61/100
State rank
#575
US rank
#18368

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hillman, MI
Population (ZIP)
3,502

Population outlook (Montmorency County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,233 people
By 2030
7,575 · -8.0%
By 2040
6,202 · -24.7%
By 2050
5,081 · -38.3%
By 2075
3,119 · -62.1%
By 2100
1,923 · -76.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Montmorency

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.6% · R 72.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -45.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.3 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+44.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+8.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.19%
Current HPI
208.751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $120,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $139,900 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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