487 S County St · Hillman, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in ready 3 bedroom home with large eat in kitchen spacious living room with wall a/c adjoining dining room with fireplace hardwood flooring under carpeting and tiled bathroom with shower appliances are included natural gas heat municipal water/sewer detached garage and barn shed. Move in at close. Cash Sale. Call 9892625048
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Large eat in kitchen
- Tiled bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1925; Single-family property
- Construction: Year built: 1925
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Interior features: Fireplace; Pantry; Workshop
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#575 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Hillman Community Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #361 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montmorency County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.95%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $68,851
- Equity at exit
- $108,106
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.95×
- Total profit
- $200,053
- Equity at exit
- $233,134
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49746
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $120,000 330-char remark
-
2026-04-26$139,900 Active 330-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,334
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$320
- After-tax cash flow
- $976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
The home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Painting — Paint appears faded in some areas
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas of the lawn appear uneven
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Painting · Paint appears faded in some areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some areas of the lawn appear uneven | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and trimming bushes — A well-maintained yard improves curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillman Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2618360
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,668
- Composite
- 25.78/100
- National rank
- #7368
- State rank
- #361 of 540 in MI
Livability — Hillman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #575
- US rank
- #18368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hillman, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,502
Population outlook (Montmorency County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,233 people
- By 2030
- 7,575 · -8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,202 · -24.7%
- By 2050
- 5,081 · -38.3%
- By 2075
- 3,119 · -62.1%
- By 2100
- 1,923 · -76.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Montmorency
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.6% · R 72.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+44.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.19%
- Current HPI
- 208.751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-14.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $120,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-26 Listed $139,900 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…