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18051 Biscayne Blvd #1504
B- Composite 68.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$269,000

18051 Biscayne Blvd #1504 · Aventura, FL 33160
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,605 sqft · Condo public records · 170 Days on market
Built 1971 $1046/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the epitome of waterfront living in Aventura with this 2-bed, 2-bath condo spanning 1,605 sqft! Bathed in natural light, unit features a spacious wrap-around balcony provides stunning views. Recent renovations have elevated the building's amenities to a new level of luxury, including tennis courts, 2 swimming pools, a private marina with ocean access, on-site restaurant, gym, sauna, library, beauty salon, valet parking and even a convenience store! Perks include 24-hour security, a card room, party rooms, and a BBQ area. For convenience, residents can catch the free Aventura shuttle bus to nearby shopping, dining and the Aventura Mall. Monthly maintenance fees cover internet, basic

Key facts

  • Wrap-around balcony
  • Swimming pools
  • Private marina

Tags

WRAP-AROUND BALCONYRECENT RENOVATIONSTENNIS COURTSSWIMMING POOLSPRIVATE MARINAOCEAN ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets not allowed
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, elevators, fitness center, laundry, pool, sauna, tennis courts, on-site manager, bike storage, cafe/restaurant, internet included, library; Association includes cable TV, security, and hot water

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Security: Gated community with guard
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Condominium; Resale property; Faces east; 19-story building
  • Construction: CBS construction
  • Exterior features: Intracoastal waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry available in the building

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $269k).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 11108% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $269k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
8.66%
Cash-on-cash
8.47%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-2,343
Equity at exit
$85,271
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$18,715
Equity at exit
$108,406

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33160

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1879
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,362 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$346 /mo · $4,151/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,046
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$916
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,229
Max offer price $269,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $257 -5% $181 +0% $105 +5% $29 +10% $-47
Rent -10% $-240 -5% $-67 +0% $105 +5% $277 +10% $449
Rate -1.0pp $240 -0.5pp $173 base $105 +0.5pp $35 +1.0pp $-36

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,046 · $12,552/yr
Likely covers
waterinternetpoolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,000 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,000 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,000 Active 166 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,000 Active 165 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,000 Active 164 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,000 Active 162 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,000 Active 158 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,000 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,000 Active 156 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,000 Active 153 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,000 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-05-16
    historical $2,400
  16. 2026-05-07
    listed $2,400
  17. 2026-01-02
    listed $269,000 Active
  18. 2026-01-01
    historical
  19. 2025-11-12
    price $274,999
  20. 2025-07-22
    historical $2,375
  21. 2025-07-07
    price $289,999
  22. 2025-06-05
    price $2,375
  23. 2025-05-20
    price $299,999
  24. 2025-05-13
    listed $2,400
  25. 2025-04-27
    historical $2,400
  26. 2025-04-15
    listed $2,400
  27. 2025-01-14
    listed $325,000 Active
  28. 2025-01-01
    historical
  29. 2024-01-04
    status Active
  30. 2023-12-30
    historical
  31. 2023-12-11
    price $325,000
  32. 2023-10-23
    price $335,000
  33. 2023-09-28
    listed $350,000 Active
  34. 2013-04-18
    soldstatus $155,000
  35. 2011-08-23
    soldstatus $115,000
  36. 1980-01-01
    soldstatus $80,000
  37. 1977-11-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,151 · $346/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,151 · $346/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,345
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$4,151
− Insurance
−$6,464
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,188
− Management
−$4,188
− HOA
−$12,552
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$2,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$502
After-tax cash flow
$1,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Aventura

Score
80/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#1834

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aventura, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
43,718
Household income
$67,040
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
284.9293
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-94.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Rental Removed $2,400 RMLSFL
  • 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,400 RMLSFL
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $269,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $274,999 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-07-22 Rental Removed $2,375 RMLSFL
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $289,999 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $2,375 RMLSFL
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $299,999 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-05-13 Listed for Rent $2,400 RMLSFL
  • 2025-04-27 Rental Removed $2,400 RMLSFL
  • 2025-04-15 Listed for Rent $2,400 RMLSFL
  • 2025-01-14 Listed $325,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2024-01-04 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2023-12-30 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2023-12-11 Price Changed $325,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-10-23 Price Changed $335,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2023-09-28 Listed $350,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2011-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1980-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1977-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,151 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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