408 Bazoobuth · Needles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 116°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect for first time buyer, or an investor looking to expand their rental inventory, or vacation home, this property features lot with big enough to park a boat or RV, central AC, easy access to Highway 95, close to Jack Smith Park, the park offers boat launching, priced to sell quickly.
Key facts
- Central ac
- 4,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot listed as 0–1 unit/acre (lot size source: assessor's data)
- Financial info: Assessments: Unknown
- HOA & community: No HOA (association value listed as 0); Community features include curbs, a dog park, and a park
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: No security features indicated
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Water and sewer available; Electricity available; Telephone in street
- Home design: Single-story; Entry on main level; No common walls with neighboring units; No accessory dwelling unit
- Construction: Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: House (single-family structure); No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included; Tile countertops; Eating area located in the living room
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Main level entry; All bedrooms on main level; One main-level bathroom; No accessibility features indicated
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups indicated
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.1% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $110k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.48%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,861
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 1.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 C St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (+2%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $138 | 86 |
| 517 Palm Way | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+2%) | 12mo | $136,000 | $163 | 81 |
| 419 Acoma St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 898 (+10%) | 3mo | $44,000 | $49 | 78 |
| 811 4th St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+0%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $159 | 77 |
| 515 A St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+14%) | 6mo | $123,000 | $132 | 68 |
| 305 C St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 896 (+10%) | 17mo | $139,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 1310 W Broadway St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+7%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $144 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $24,302
- Equity at exit
- $41,287
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $70,295
- Equity at exit
- $57,881
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92363
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,232 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $326 | +0% $295 | +5% $263 | +10% $232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $197 | -5% $246 | +0% $295 | +5% $343 | +10% $392 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $323 | base $295 | +0.5pp $266 | +1.0pp $237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Bazoobuth St Needles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 412 D St Needles, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 512 E St Needles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,300 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 804 Valley Ave Needles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 110 S L St Needles, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1514 4th St Unit 1514 Needles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,375 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 214 Spruce St Needles, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,100 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$125,000 Active 290-char remark
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2024-11-20price $145,000
-
2024-09-30$149,000 Active
-
2020-06-06status Active
-
2020-05-07historical Hold Do Not Show
-
2020-03-04status Active
-
2020-02-03historical Hold Do Not Show
-
2019-12-31$45,000 Active
-
2019-11-20soldstatus $41,000
-
2019-09-10soldstatus $41,000 Closed Sale
-
2019-04-28status Pending Sale
-
2017-09-12$49,900
-
2017-09-10$49,900 Active
-
2017-09-08$49,900
-
2003-05-06soldstatus $30,000
-
1996-09-09soldstatus $26,000
-
1990-01-26soldstatus $28,000
-
1988-07-05soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$440
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Needles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626760
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,795
- Composite
- 23.35/100
- National rank
- #13305
- State rank
- #1194 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Needles
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #492
- US rank
- #16661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Needles, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,392
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Current HPI
- 279.7931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+557.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-11-20 Price Changed $145,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-30 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2020-06-06 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2020-05-07 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2020-03-04 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2020-02-03 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2019-12-31 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
- 2019-11-20 Sold (MLS) $41,000 WARDEX
- 2019-09-10 Sold (MLS) $41,000 CRMLS
- 2019-04-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2017-09-12 Listed $49,900 WARDEX
- 2017-09-10 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
- 2017-09-08 Listed $49,900 WARDEX
- 2003-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1996-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1990-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1988-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $668 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…