5931 Westhaven Dr S · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located minutes from shopping, dining, and schools! It features a new roof, fresh paint, and a practical layout with comfortable living spaces. The primary bath includes a soaking tub, adding a nice touch for relaxation. A solid, move-in-ready option in a convenient location! Don't miss out!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Soaking tub
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.85%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,102
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -0.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Alan Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (+4%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $101 | 65 |
| 855 Waverly Dr W | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,006 (+0%) | 7mo | $149,400 | $149 | 65 |
| 6216 Waringwood Dr S | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $46 | 54 |
| 505 Doby Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,090 (+9%) | 9mo | $142,000 | $130 | 53 |
| 6660 Zeigler Blvd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,022 (+2%) | 22mo | $78,000 | $76 | 47 |
| 6459 Waverly Dr N | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,119 (+12%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $161 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,258
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $34,923
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36608
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6725 Zeigler Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,282 | $1.51 | 13d | 7 | 0.58mi |
| 6601 Old Shell Rd Unit 3 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6701 Dickens Ferry Rd #30 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1342 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 101 Foreman Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,279 | $1.53 | 43d | 9 | 0.79mi |
| 6451 Old Shell Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,061 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6474B Cedar Bend Ct Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1108 Rhett Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1 Country Ln Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,221 | $1.44 | 13d | 10 | 0.95mi |
| 1165 Barker Dr W Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1209 Skipper Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 20d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1257 Devander Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1255 Amelia Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1253 Athey Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6807 Victor Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 176 2nd Ave Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $895 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1305 Middle Ring Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5904 Saint Gallen Ave S Unit 1043743P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,719 | $2.49 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 133 East Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,024 | $1.25 | 13d | 4 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $145,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Step into this refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located minutes from shopping, dining, and schools! It features a new roof, fresh paint, and a practical layout with comfortable living spaces. The primary bath includes a soaking tub, adding a nice touch for relaxation. A solid, move-in-ready option in a convenient location! Don't miss out!
-
2026-04-17$149,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Step into this refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located minutes from shopping, dining, and schools! It features a new roof, fresh paint, and a practical layout with comfortable living spaces. The primary bath includes a soaking tub, adding a nice touch for relaxation. A solid, move-in-ready option in a convenient location! Don't miss out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $594 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$59/yr (+$5/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,890
- Household income
- $61,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1823.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -224.52%
- Current HPI
- 198.9469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.15%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-2.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $145,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-17 Listed $149,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…