7440 Avenue E · Beasley, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience Modern Elegance In This Beautifully Crafted Home Featuring 4 Bedrooms And 2.5 Bathrooms. The Open Floor Plan Showcases A Stunning Quartz Waterfall Island, Gas Range, Custom Cabinets, And Luxurious Vinyl Flooring Throughout. Natural Light And Soaring Ceilings Create An Inviting, Airy Atmosphere. Crafted By A Premier Luxury Builder, This Home Combines Quality And Style. Built With 6-inch Stud Walls For Exceptional Insulation And Soundproofing, A Pile Foundation, Solid Core Doors, And High-End Finishes. The Primary Suite Offers Dual Vanities, A Spacious Tiled Shower, And A Generous Walk-In Closet. Jack-And-Jill Bedrooms Include Private Closets, Adding Convenience And Privacy For Family And Guests. Enjoy Outdoor Living With A Covered Patio, 2-Car Garage, And No HOA Fees! Located Near Hwy 59 For Easy Access To Shopping And Dining. The Standout Home In The Neighborhood—Move-In Ready!
Key facts
- Custom cabinets
- Vinyl flooring
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $289k).
- Recommended offer: $263k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.4% in Beasley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,273 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.51%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,095
- List price
- $289,000
- Delta
- 18.40%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 2,049 (+3%) | 2mo | $304,503 | $149 | 75 |
| 823 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 2,049 (+3%) | 1mo | $324,916 | $159 | 64 |
| 430 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 2,125 (+7%) | 4mo | $343,003 | $161 | 64 |
| 518 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,084 (+5%) | 7mo | $346,229 | $166 | 64 |
| 506 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,084 (+5%) | 9mo | $340,858 | $164 | 63 |
| 422 N 4th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-14%) | 2mo | $249,999 | $147 | 61 |
| 418 N 4th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-14%) | 2mo | $249,999 | $147 | 61 |
| 8011 Alamo Ct | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,049 (+3%) | 15mo | $318,266 | $155 | 60 |
| 426 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 2,084 (+5%) | 14mo | $338,064 | $162 | 59 |
| 402 N 4th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-14%) | 8mo | $269,900 | $159 | 57 |
| 414 N 4th St | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-14%) | 8mo | $269,900 | $159 | 57 |
| 723 Tejas Village Pkwy | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,084 (+5%) | 8mo | $315,773 | $152 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $72,265
- Equity at exit
- $149,123
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $209,019
- Equity at exit
- $245,998
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77417
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 232
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $404 | +0% $304 | +5% $204 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $74 | -5% $189 | +0% $304 | +5% $419 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $378 | base $304 | +0.5pp $229 | +1.0pp $153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 N 4th St Beasley, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,750 | $2.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 119 S 8th St Beasley, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,680 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $289,000 910-char remark
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
Experience Modern Elegance In This Beautifully Crafted Home Featuring 4 Bedrooms And 2.5 Bathrooms. The Open Floor Plan Showcases A Stunning Quartz Waterfall Island, Gas Range, Custom Cabinets, And Luxurious Vinyl Flooring Throughout. Natural Light And Soaring Ceilings Create An Inviting, Airy Atmosphere. Crafted By A Premier Luxury Builder, This Home Combines Quality And Style. Built With 6-inch Stud Walls For Exceptional Insulation And Soundproofing, A Pile Foundation, Solid Core Doors, And High-End Finishes. The Primary Suite Offers Dual Vanities, A Spacious Tiled Shower, And A Generous Walk-In Closet. Jack-And-Jill Bedrooms Include Private Closets, Adding Convenience And Privacy For Family And Guests. Enjoy Outdoor Living With A Covered Patio, 2-Car Garage, And No HOA Fees! Located Near Hwy 59 For Easy Access To Shopping And Dining. The Standout Home In The Neighborhood—Move-In Ready!
-
2026-03-27price $300,000 910-char remark
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
Experience Modern Elegance In This Beautifully Crafted Home Featuring 4 Bedrooms And 2.5 Bathrooms. The Open Floor Plan Showcases A Stunning Quartz Waterfall Island, Gas Range, Custom Cabinets, And Luxurious Vinyl Flooring Throughout. Natural Light And Soaring Ceilings Create An Inviting, Airy Atmosphere. Crafted By A Premier Luxury Builder, This Home Combines Quality And Style. Built With 6-inch Stud Walls For Exceptional Insulation And Soundproofing, A Pile Foundation, Solid Core Doors, And High-End Finishes. The Primary Suite Offers Dual Vanities, A Spacious Tiled Shower, And A Generous Walk-In Closet. Jack-And-Jill Bedrooms Include Private Closets, Adding Convenience And Privacy For Family And Guests. Enjoy Outdoor Living With A Covered Patio, 2-Car Garage, And No HOA Fees! Located Near Hwy 59 For Easy Access To Shopping And Dining. The Standout Home In The Neighborhood—Move-In Ready!
-
2026-03-12price $315,000 910-char remark
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
Experience Modern Elegance In This Beautifully Crafted Home Featuring 4 Bedrooms And 2.5 Bathrooms. The Open Floor Plan Showcases A Stunning Quartz Waterfall Island, Gas Range, Custom Cabinets, And Luxurious Vinyl Flooring Throughout. Natural Light And Soaring Ceilings Create An Inviting, Airy Atmosphere. Crafted By A Premier Luxury Builder, This Home Combines Quality And Style. Built With 6-inch Stud Walls For Exceptional Insulation And Soundproofing, A Pile Foundation, Solid Core Doors, And High-End Finishes. The Primary Suite Offers Dual Vanities, A Spacious Tiled Shower, And A Generous Walk-In Closet. Jack-And-Jill Bedrooms Include Private Closets, Adding Convenience And Privacy For Family And Guests. Enjoy Outdoor Living With A Covered Patio, 2-Car Garage, And No HOA Fees! Located Near Hwy 59 For Easy Access To Shopping And Dining. The Standout Home In The Neighborhood—Move-In Ready!
-
2026-02-27$325,000 Active 910-char remark
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
Experience Modern Elegance In This Beautifully Crafted Home Featuring 4 Bedrooms And 2.5 Bathrooms. The Open Floor Plan Showcases A Stunning Quartz Waterfall Island, Gas Range, Custom Cabinets, And Luxurious Vinyl Flooring Throughout. Natural Light And Soaring Ceilings Create An Inviting, Airy Atmosphere. Crafted By A Premier Luxury Builder, This Home Combines Quality And Style. Built With 6-inch Stud Walls For Exceptional Insulation And Soundproofing, A Pile Foundation, Solid Core Doors, And High-End Finishes. The Primary Suite Offers Dual Vanities, A Spacious Tiled Shower, And A Generous Walk-In Closet. Jack-And-Jill Bedrooms Include Private Closets, Adding Convenience And Privacy For Family And Guests. Enjoy Outdoor Living With A Covered Patio, 2-Car Garage, And No HOA Fees! Located Near Hwy 59 For Easy Access To Shopping And Dining. The Standout Home In The Neighborhood—Move-In Ready!
-
2026-02-17historical
-
2026-01-27price $340,000
-
2025-12-05status Active
-
2025-12-04price $344,000
-
2025-12-04status Active
-
2025-12-04historical
-
2025-07-23status Pending
-
2025-06-05$349,999 Active
-
2025-05-31historical
-
2025-03-15price $369,900
-
2025-02-06$379,900 Active
-
2024-11-11historical
-
2024-07-20$389,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$4,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,797
- − Management
- −$2,797
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$1,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Rental Replace ceiling fans — Modernizes the space and improves air circulation
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Rental Replace ceiling fans — Modernizes the space and improves air circulation ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826580
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,213
- Composite
- 46.43/100
- National rank
- #2452
- State rank
- #116 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beasley
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1273
- US rank
- #22130
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beasley, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,232
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 49% White 22% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.15%
- Current HPI
- 337.8236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-25.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $289,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $300,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $315,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $325,000 HARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $340,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $344,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $349,999 HARMLS
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-15 Price Changed $369,900 HARMLS
- 2025-02-06 Listed $379,900 HARMLS
- 2024-11-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-07-20 Listed $389,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…