9850 Garfield #53 · Huntington Beach, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WOW!!!! Corner Lot * * * GARAGE * * * Just under 2,000 SqFt. * * * Island Kitchen * * * Solid Surface counters * * * Wood flooring * * * Central A/C * * * High ceilings * * * inside laundry room withe sink * * * formal dining room * * * 2 Bedroom + Den/Office
Key facts
- 16.4 acre lot
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size source: Assessor's data
- Financial info: Land lease: $2,150 per month (park-provided)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease from park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space); Located in Brookfield Manor park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story home; Mobile home remains (estimated dimensions: 40' x 62'); Estimated year built
- Construction: Mobile construction; Estimated living area
- Exterior features: Community pool; Level-with-street lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling
- Interior features: Entry on first level; Suburban community setting
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $375k).
- Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($131k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,780
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9850 Garfield #35 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,831 (-8%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $137 | 82 |
| 9850 Garfield Ave #74 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-12%) | 0mo | $312,500 | $179 | 75 |
| 9850 Garfield Ave #130 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-9%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $186 | 74 |
| 19361 Brookhurst St #103 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,900 (-4%) | 21mo | $121,000 | $64 | 62 |
| 19361 Brookhurst St #155 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (-3%) | 22mo | $310,000 | $161 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-16,346
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $22,649
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92646
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,315 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$906
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9595 Toucan Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1548 | $4,200 | $2.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 18236 Sanmian Ct Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1690 | $4,100 | $2.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19343 McLaren Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $4,000 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18131 S 3rd St Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $5,000 | $3.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9213 El Tango Cir Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1670 | $4,800 | $2.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 9891 Hot Springs Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $7,000 | $4.69 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 10220 El Monterey Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $5,000 | $2.75 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 10220 El Monterey Ave Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $5,000 | $2.75 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1803 Iowa St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $4,300 | $2.77 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8579 Volga River Cir Fountain Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $3,500 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $375,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $375,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $375,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $375,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $375,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-03-20status Active
-
2026-03-17status Pending Sale
-
2026-02-05Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-04$375,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$5,625
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,142
- − Management
- −$4,142
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable income
- $4,076
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$978
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntington Beach Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0618060
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▲ 17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,159
- Composite
- 64.9/100
- National rank
- #511
- State rank
- #39 of 517 in CA
Livability — Huntington Beach
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #10298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntington Beach, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 194,835
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,615
- Household income
- $130,672
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1226.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 5% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1082.92%
- Current HPI
- 459.3987
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.20%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $375,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $525 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…