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33 W Teton Dr
B- Composite 66.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,000

33 W Teton Dr · Yuma, AZ 85364
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured public records · 192 Days on market
Built 1970 5,040 sqft lot Est $146k · 17% under $70/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to peaceful desert living in Palm Desert Mobile Estates, one of Yuma’s most desirable 55+ communities. This beautifully maintained home sits on owned land—a rare find—and is surrounded by mature trees and lush landscaping that create a serene, private setting. Enjoy the outdoors year-round with multiple patios perfect for morning coffee, entertaining, or simply soaking in the sunshine. Inside, the bright kitchen features updated Corian countertops, plenty of cabinetry, and great natural light. The guest bedroom includes a built-in Murphy bed, offering comfortable accommodations while preserving valuable space. For year-round comfort, the home is equipped with newer

Key facts

  • Multiple patios
  • Newer mini-splits
  • Detached casita

Tags

OWNED LANDMULTIPLE PATIOSUPDATED CORIAN COUNTERTOPSBUILT-IN MURPHY BEDNEWER MINI-SPLITSDETACHED CASITA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (HOA) with $70 fee; Located in a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 total parking spaces; 4 covered spaces; Attached garage; Carport with 4 spaces; RV access/parking; Attached carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Guest house; Workshop; Shed(s)
  • Exterior features: RV hookup; Covered patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher; Gas range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 three-quarter bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Double-pane windows; Bay windows; Window blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
  • Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.25%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
423 W Ocotillo Ln 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,064 (-3%) 8mo $155,000 $146 77
3583 S Kings Ct #10 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,050 (-4%) 5mo $137,000 $130 76
52 W Casa Blanca Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-6%) 3mo $146,000 $140 74
582 W Rainbow Ln 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 11mo $136,000 $118 72
686 W Rainbow Ln 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 11mo $115,000 $100 69
531 W Ocotillo Ln 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+14%) 2mo $194,000 $155 64
3717 S Lakeside Cir 0.42mi 2/1.5 1,121 (+2%) 12mo $179,900 $160 62
3460 S Redondo Rd 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,222 (+11%) 8mo $145,000 $119 61
3748 S Lakeside Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 4mo $130,000 $113 60
549 W Ocotillo Ln 0.18mi 2/1.0 1,248 (+14%) 5mo $119,000 $95 57
3789 S Chapala Cir 0.46mi 2/2.0 1,261 (+15%) 0mo $179,900 $143 50
1100 W 34 Pl 0.54mi 2/2.0 960 (-13%) 0mo $128,000 $133 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,522
Equity at exit
$18,191
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$16,359
Equity at exit
$10,548

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85364

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $612/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$70
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,027
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $361 -5% $326 +0% $292 +5% $257 +10% $223
Rent -10% $181 -5% $237 +0% $292 +5% $347 +10% $402
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $323 base $292 +0.5pp $260 +1.0pp $228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3749 S 4th Ave Unit 224 Yuma, AZ 2.0 2.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 22d 1 0.25mi
1169 W 34th St Yuma, AZ 3.0 1.5 1430 $1,750 $1.22 14d 1 0.54mi
225 W Catalina Dr Yuma, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 777 $1,363 $1.75 14d 7 0.76mi
515 E Country Club Dr Unit 515B Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 14d 1 0.82mi
517 E Country Club Dr Unit 517D Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 14d 1 0.82mi
143 W 27th Pl Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1277 $1,500 $1.17 22d 1 1.10mi
2714 S Virginia Dr Yuma, AZ 2.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 14d 2 1.10mi
1900 W 30th St Yuma, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1024 $804 $0.79 14d 1 1.36mi
1778 W 28th St Yuma, AZ 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,300 $2.75 14d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$70 · $840/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $122,000 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $122,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 186 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,000 Active 181 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,000 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,000 Active 178 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $122,000 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $122,000 Active 170 DOM
  18. 2026-05-01
    price $122,000
  19. 2026-04-06
    price $124,900
  20. 2026-02-19
    price $129,900
  21. 2025-12-11
    listed $134,900 Active
  22. 2007-09-24
    soldstatus $95,000
  23. 1995-12-21
    soldstatus $60,000
  24. 1995-11-01
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$612 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$805 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$193/yr (+$16/mo · 31.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,760
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$612
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,341
− Management
−$1,341
− HOA
−$840
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable income
$1,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$392
After-tax cash flow
$3,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuma Union High School District (4507)
NCES district ID
0409630
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,512
Composite
12.86/100
National rank
#9592
State rank
#212 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Yuma

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6635

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuma, AZ
County
Yuma County · 149,809 people
City population
149,809
Metro
Yuma, AZ
Population (ZIP)
72,960
Household income
$57,874
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
2195.0

Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,633 people
By 2030
214,114 · +1.2%
By 2040
217,856 · +2.9%
By 2050
220,276 · +4.1%
By 2075
222,359 · +5.1%
By 2100
198,880 · -6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 29% White 24% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 50% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yuma

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -197.00%
Current HPI
220.8058
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
Yuma, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+103.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $122,000 YAR
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $124,900 YAR
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $129,900 YAR
  • 2025-12-11 Listed $134,900 YAR
  • 2007-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1995-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…