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1525 Penn St
B- Composite 67.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,148

1525 Penn St · Harrisburg, PA 17102
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,208 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 169 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot $51/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Paver patio
  • Built 1900

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWNFENCED BACK YARDPAVER PATIOSHORT WALK TO RIVERFRONT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $775 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,690 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.84%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,775
List price
$112,148
Delta
-54.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1619 N 5th St 0.31mi 3/2.5 2,093 (-5%) 15mo $220,000 $105 62
228 Boas St 0.39mi 3/3.5 2,011 (-9%) 12mo $225,000 $112 51
2007 N 3rd St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,334 (+6%) 22mo $425,000 $182 45
220 Peffer St 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,888 (-14%) 24mo $325,000 $172 34
2227 N 3rd St 0.71mi 3/1.5 2,050 (-7%) 24mo $230,000 $112 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,388
Equity at exit
$16,722
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$41,938
Equity at exit
$9,697

Cash invested: $31,401 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17102

Home prices YoY
-3.9%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,681 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$588
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,657/yr
Insurance
$47
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $112,148
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $396 -5% $364 +0% $333 +5% $301 +10% $269
Rent -10% $200 -5% $266 +0% $333 +5% $399 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $389 -0.5pp $361 base $333 +0.5pp $304 +1.0pp $274

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,037
Closing costs
$3,364
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 2280 $1,895 $0.83 24d 1 0.19mi
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 0.28mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 44d 1 0.30mi
1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 3.5 2400 $2,200 $0.92 44d 1 0.38mi
1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA 4.0 4.0 2400 $2,000 $0.83 24d 1 0.38mi
1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1410 $1,295 $0.92 44d 1 0.40mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.45mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 24d 1 0.46mi
320 Maclay St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.5 2237 $1,750 $0.78 14d 1 0.53mi
711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 44d 1 0.58mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 44d 1 0.60mi
325 Woodbine St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1706 $1,350 $0.79 24d 1 0.62mi
2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1406 $1,495 $1.06 44d 1 0.69mi
339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1420 $1,650 $1.16 14d 1 0.74mi
321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.5 1562 $2,395 $1.53 44d 1 0.78mi
2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 44d 1 0.91mi
616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 44d 1 0.99mi
514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1498 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 1.13mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,525 $1.76 14d 10 1.13mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,097 $1.46 44d 1 1.13mi
52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,495 $0.77 22d 1 1.15mi
2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,095 $0.78 44d 1 1.22mi
1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1423 $1,995 $1.40 44d 1 1.23mi
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 14d 1 1.29mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 14d 1 1.32mi
331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 44d 1 1.50mi
331 Hummel St Unit A Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1590 $1,400 $0.88 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    price $112,148 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.

  2. 2026-04-10
    price $121,900 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.

  3. 2026-02-17
    price $131,750 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.

  4. 2025-12-03
    listed $141,750 Active 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,657 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,657 · $305/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,170
− Mortgage interest
−$6,282
− Property taxes
−$3,657
− Insurance
−$1,227
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,614
− Management
−$1,614
− Depreciation
−$3,262
Taxable income
$2,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$603
After-tax cash flow
$3,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,118
Household income
$54,573
Rent vs Own
68.5% rent · 31.5% own
Severe rent burden
720.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.43%
Current HPI
451.4739
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $112,148 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $121,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $131,750 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $141,750 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,657 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…