1525 Penn St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,148
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Paver patio
- Built 1900
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $775 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.84%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,775
- List price
- $112,148
- Delta
- -54.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1619 N 5th St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 2,093 (-5%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $105 | 62 |
| 228 Boas St | 0.39mi | 3/3.5 | 2,011 (-9%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $112 | 51 |
| 2007 N 3rd St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,334 (+6%) | 22mo | $425,000 | $182 | 45 |
| 220 Peffer St | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,888 (-14%) | 24mo | $325,000 | $172 | 34 |
| 2227 N 3rd St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 2,050 (-7%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $112 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,388
- Equity at exit
- $16,722
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $41,938
- Equity at exit
- $9,697
Cash invested: $31,401 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17102
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$588
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,657/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $396 | -5% $364 | +0% $333 | +5% $301 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $200 | -5% $266 | +0% $333 | +5% $399 | +10% $465 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $389 | -0.5pp $361 | base $333 | +0.5pp $304 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,037
- Closing costs
- $3,364
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2280 | $1,895 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2400 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 320 Maclay St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2237 | $1,750 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 325 Woodbine St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,350 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1406 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,395 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,525 | $1.76 | 14d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,097 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,495 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,095 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1590 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 331 Hummel St Unit A Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1590 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08price $112,148 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.
-
2026-04-10price $121,900 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.
-
2026-02-17price $131,750 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.
-
2025-12-03$141,750 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Spacious home situated within walking distance to downtown. 3 story Brick townhouse style home with 4 bedrooms, full bath, kitchen and living room. Unfinished basement for storage. Fenced back yard with paver patio. Conveniently located to shopping, restaurants, major highways and a short walk to riverfront along the Susquehanna River.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,657 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,657 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,282
- − Property taxes
- −$3,657
- − Insurance
- −$1,227
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$3,262
- Taxable income
- $2,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,118
- Household income
- $54,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 720.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.43%
- Current HPI
- 451.4739
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.29%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-20.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $112,148 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $121,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $131,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $141,750 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,657 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…