CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
292 Hill Pond Rd
D Composite 42.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$385,900

292 Hill Pond Rd · Bluffton, SC 29910
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,587 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 2026 6,534 sqft lot Est $409k · 6% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Stunning New Cοnstruсtiοn ‐ Finlay Μοdel in The Lakes at Nеw Rіverside, Bluffton, SC * * Welcome to your dream home in the sought-after community of The Lakes at New Riverside! This exquisite Finlay model, a 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, one-story residence with a 2-car garage, is currently under construction and offers 1,587 heated square feet of modern elegance. Slated for completion in April 2026, this home combines luxury and functionality in the heart of Bluffton, SC. * * Key Features: * * A chef's delight with high-end appliances, expansive countertops, perfect for culinary creations. - * * Open-Concept Floorplan: * * Seamlessly integrates the kitchen

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Natural gas

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANSCREENED-IN COVERED PATIONATURAL GASCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $386k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $373k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $327k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Bluffton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#76 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pritchardville Elementary (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C+, #109 of 597 statewide, top 19%, 1,005 students, 24% FRL); Bluffton Middle (math 40% / reading 46%, grade D-, #60 of 229 statewide, top 26%, 872 students, 45% FRL); Bluffton High (math 69% / reading 85%, grade A-, #28 of 196 statewide, top 16%, 1,350 students, 38% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Beaufort 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 760 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $326,677 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.96%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$409,446
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
284 Hill Pond Rd 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 3mo $371,900 $234 96
313 Hill Pond Rd 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 3mo $386,900 $244 96
280 Hill Pond Rd 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 3mo $412,000 $260 96
301 Hill Pond Rd 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 5mo $389,900 $246 95
333 Hill Pond Rd 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 4mo $409,900 $258 94
309 Hill Pond Rd 0.02mi 4/2.0 1,587 (0%) 6mo $408,690 $258 94
288 Hill Pond Rd 0.01mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-10%) 4mo $379,900 $266 75
337 Hill Pond Rd 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-10%) 4mo $364,900 $256 73
43 James O Ct 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,497 (-6%) 2mo $449,500 $300 62
44 Parr Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,437 (-10%) 3mo $380,000 $264 54
46 James O Ct 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,356 (-15%) 4mo $383,000 $282 48
12 Hartwell Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,780 (+12%) 1mo $405,000 $228 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-64,447
Equity at exit
$57,539
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-48,220
Equity at exit
$33,366

Cash invested: $108,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29910

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
760
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,267 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,024
Tax est. 1.5%
$482 /mo · $5,788/yr
Insurance
$161
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$686
Net cashflow
$-86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,376
Max offer price $373,438
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $47 +0% $-86 +5% $-219 +10% $-353
Rent -10% $-344 -5% $-215 +0% $-86 +5% $43 +10% $172
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $12 base $-86 +0.5pp $-186 +1.0pp $-288

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,475
Closing costs
$11,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Mainland Lakes Dr Bluffton, SC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1657 $3,005 $1.81 15d 29 0.35mi
41 Jocassee Rd Bluffton, SC 4.0 2.0 1903 $3,495 $1.84 15d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-25
    price $385,900
  3. 2026-04-22
    price $389,900
  4. 2026-03-26
    price $404,900
  5. 2026-03-20
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  7. 2026-03-09
    price $427,900
  8. 2026-01-28
    price $407,900
  9. 2026-01-24
    listed $417,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,201
− Mortgage interest
−$21,616
− Property taxes
−$5,788
− Insurance
−$1,930
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,136
− Management
−$3,136
− Depreciation
−$11,226
Taxable loss
−$7,632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,832
After-tax cash flow
$798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaufort 01
NCES district ID
4501110
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$57,430
Composite
40.56/100
National rank
#3699
State rank
#17 of 80 in SC

Livability — Bluffton

Score
68/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#8936

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bluffton, SC
County
Beaufort County · 163,770 people
City population
77,022
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
Population (ZIP)
53,019
Household income
$98,912
Rent vs Own
22.8% rent · 77.2% own
Severe rent burden
1146.0

Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,915 people
By 2030
227,272 · +7.2%
By 2040
253,861 · +19.8%
By 2050
275,126 · +29.8%
By 2075
311,022 · +46.8%
By 2100
321,286 · +51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort

2024 margin
R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.80%
Current HPI
245.8086
Rent YoY
▲ 4.06%
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending RSMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $385,900 RSMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $389,900 RSMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $404,900 RSMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Relisted RSMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending RSMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $427,900 RSMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $407,900 RSMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $417,900 RSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…