3567 Elmora Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$247,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LISTED AND SOLD SIMULTANEOUSLY
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Updated kitchen
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area as reported by assessor; Below-grade finished and unfinished areas reported by assessor
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures present; Year built as reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Located within city limits (Baltimore City); No tidal water on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one upper level, one lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Cooling system: Other (uses natural gas)
- Interior features: Fully finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $248k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-726/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (21.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,952/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $306 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $248k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.05%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3564 Elmora Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,478 (+0%) | 1mo | $133,500 | $90 | 90 |
| 3620 Erdman Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+9%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $75 | 74 |
| 3533 Elmley Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $52 | 71 |
| 3733 Ravenwood Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-8%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $100 | 70 |
| 3114 Mareco Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,410 (-4%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 2846 Lake Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 1,455 (-1%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 3444 Belair Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-3%) | 2mo | $131,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 3571 Dudley Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $125 | 62 |
| 3406 Ramona Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-4%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 1411 Kenhill Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,356 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 2902 Clifton Park Ter | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 1mo | $66,000 | $49 | 52 |
| 1418 N Linwood Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,356 (-8%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $66 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-13,165
- Equity at exit
- $65,022
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $28,157
- Equity at exit
- $72,800
Cash invested: $69,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,300
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,395/yr
- Insurance
- −$103
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $80 | -5% $10 | +0% $-60 | +5% $-131 | +10% $-201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-215 | -5% $-138 | +0% $-60 | +5% $17 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $64 | -0.5pp $3 | base $-60 | +0.5pp $-125 | +1.0pp $-190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,975
- Closing costs
- $7,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3914 Erdman Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,319 | $1.10 | 19d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3603 Ravenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1566 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3512 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3551 Elmley Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1872 | $2,095 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3525 Kentucky Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $1,950 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3519 Kentucky Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3339 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,600 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3326 Elmora Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3322 Ravenwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,800 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3317 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3222 Lyndale Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3218 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3544 Chesterfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,635 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2113 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,795 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3203 Clarence Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,865 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4300 Orchard Ridge Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,809 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3305 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2828 Lake Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3573 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,300 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1403 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3300 Dudley Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3551 Shannon Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,358 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4116 Raymonn Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1244 | $1,950 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1215 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,795 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2837 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,675 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2848 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2817 Pelham Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2621 E Oliver St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3515 Parklawn Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2735 Chesterfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2626 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2311 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2706 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $1,395 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4320 Sheldon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4400 Asbury Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,995 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 809 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1746 | $1,400 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4024 Eierman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,825 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 724 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 718 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $247,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $247,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $247,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $247,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$249,900 Active
-
2007-07-17historical
-
2007-05-15
-
2005-10-20soldstatus $88,000
-
2005-09-30soldstatus $88,000 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SIMULTANEOUSLY
-
2005-08-30historical 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SIMULTANEOUSLY
-
2005-08-30$92,000 30-char remark
Show marketing remark (30 chars)
LISTED AND SOLD SIMULTANEOUSLY
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,395 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,549 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$154/yr (+$13/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,886
- − Property taxes
- −$2,395
- − Insurance
- −$1,240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$7,212
- Taxable loss
- −$5,052
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $487/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+171.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-07-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-05-15 Listed — MRIS
- 2005-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-30 Sold (MLS) $88,000 MRIS
- 2005-08-30 Listed $92,000 MRIS
- 2005-08-30 Delisted — MRIS
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,395 · +610.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…