511 N Kenneth Ct N · Glenwood, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home features 3 generous size bedrooms and a modern kitchen. Home features hardwood floors throughout. The large backyard with a unique patio will be great for entertaining. Not much to do but add your personal touch to this home.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Modern kitchen
- Unique patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include park access, curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (garage owned); Approximately 2.5 garage/total parking spaces; Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Park nearby; Curbs and sidewalks; Street lights and paved streets; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 125; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, dining room and bedrooms; Ceramic tile in laundry room
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Partially finished basement; Unfinished attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (ceramic tile, 8 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 8.0% in Glenwood — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#545 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233 (suburban): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #272 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Homewood-Flossmoor High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 2,798 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $189k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.88%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 807 W Manor Ct W | 0.09mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (+7%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $199 | 78 |
| 527 N Virginia Ave | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 0mo | $297,797 | $271 | 72 |
| 900 W Strieff Ln | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,269 (+10%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $165 | 69 |
| 914 Coach Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,197 (+4%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $230 | 65 |
| 214 N Gay Ct | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (-6%) | 3mo | $294,000 | $270 | 60 |
| 313 N Park Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-8%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $197 | 59 |
| 18430 Aberdeen St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (+6%) | 0mo | $242,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 945 W 187th St | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,197 (+4%) | 4mo | $244,000 | $204 | 56 |
| 1129 183rd St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+5%) | 5mo | $219,150 | $180 | 53 |
| 18243 Center Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,079 (-7%) | 5mo | $216,000 | $200 | 51 |
| 330 N Illinois Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,309 (+13%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $180 | 49 |
| 18144 Aberdeen St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $223 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $3,015
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $46,713
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60425
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$618 /mo · $7,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18117 Loomis Ave Homewood, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $189,000
-
2025-11-29historical
-
2025-09-24historical
-
2025-07-24historical
-
2025-05-07historical
-
2001-03-07soldstatus $95,000
-
1997-07-16soldstatus $122,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,419 · $618/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,419 · $618/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$7,419
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $3,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$906
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233
- NCES district ID
- 1719560
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,564
- Composite
- 24.42/100
- National rank
- #7681
- State rank
- #272 of 620 in IL
Livability — Glenwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #545
- US rank
- #11292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glenwood, IL
- City population
- 8,730
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,730
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.24%
- Current HPI
- 314.1777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+54.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $189,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2023): $7,419 · +44.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…