🏷️ Likely Rental
1607 Indiana Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$71,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained income property with a long-term Section 8 tenant in place, offering immediate cash flow from day one. Currently utilized as a single-family residence with one tenant occupying the entire home, however the property is legally configured as a duplex and could easily be converted back to two separate units for increased rental income. Solid condition throughout and cared for over the years. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack.
Key facts
- Solid condition
- Great opportunity
- 6,400 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $497 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $72k implies a 379% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.32%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,883
- List price
- $71,900
- Delta
- -32.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 834 N Detroit Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 | 1,552 (-9%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $23 | 74 |
| 1434 Nebraska Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,666 (-2%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $30 | 69 |
| 1264 Fernwood Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 | 1,614 (-5%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $77 | 66 |
| 1131 Montrose Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,642 (-4%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $21 | 66 |
| 1518 Buckingham St | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $64 | 64 |
| 1116 Woodstock Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,694 (-0%) | 4mo | $72,000 | $43 | 63 |
| 1424 Addington Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,726 (+1%) | 3mo | $153,198 | $89 | 62 |
| 1938 Fernwood Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,502 (-12%) | 3mo | $95,900 | $64 | 50 |
| 1513 Waverly Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,578 (-7%) | 7mo | $123,400 | $78 | 48 |
| 1133 N Blum St | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 | 1,923 (+13%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $21 | 46 |
| 2004 Calumet Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 | 1,557 (-9%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $32 | 45 |
| 1812 Joffre Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,450 (-15%) | 7mo | $95,927 | $66 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $35,565
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.75×
- Total profit
- $115,709
- Equity at exit
- $6,217
Cash invested: $20,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,387 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$377
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $755/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $626
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $667 | -5% $646 | +0% $626 | +5% $606 | +10% $585 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $517 | -5% $571 | +0% $626 | +5% $681 | +10% $736 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $662 | -0.5pp $644 | base $626 | +0.5pp $608 | +1.0pp $589 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,975
- Closing costs
- $2,157
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1420 Addington Rd Toledo, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1728 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1122 Pinewood Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,150 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1140 Palmwood Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2117 Clinton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,115 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2037 Alvin St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,175 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,478 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $71,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $71,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $71,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $71,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $71,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $71,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $71,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $71,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-03-03price $71,900 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Well-maintained income property with a long-term Section 8 tenant in place, offering immediate cash flow from day one. Currently utilized as a single-family residence with one tenant occupying the entire home, however the property is legally configured as a duplex and could easily be converted back to two separate units for increased rental income. Solid condition throughout and cared for over the years. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack.
-
2026-02-20$74,900 Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Well-maintained income property with a long-term Section 8 tenant in place, offering immediate cash flow from day one. Currently utilized as a single-family residence with one tenant occupying the entire home, however the property is legally configured as a duplex and could easily be converted back to two separate units for increased rental income. Solid condition throughout and cared for over the years. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to house hack.
-
2025-10-14price $19,300 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
CROSS REFERENCE AS DUPLEX- SEPERATE ELECTRIC, FURNACE. NEW STEAM UNIT 1993. BEAUTIFUL WOOD COLUMNS ON 1ST FLOOR, 2 FULL BATHS, HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A DUPLEX. CAN BE CHANGED BACK TO SINGLE FAMILY.INFO C# 3291
-
2025-10-14price $15,000
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
CROSS REFERENCE AS DUPLEX- SEPERATE ELECTRIC, FURNACE. NEW STEAM UNIT 1993. BEAUTIFUL WOOD COLUMNS ON 1ST FLOOR, 2 FULL BATHS, HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A DUPLEX. CAN BE CHANGED BACK TO SINGLE FAMILY.INFO C# 3291
-
2002-12-09soldstatus $15,000
-
2002-07-22$17,900
-
1999-10-29soldstatus $19,300 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
CROSS REFERENCE AS DUPLEX- SEPERATE ELECTRIC, FURNACE. NEW STEAM UNIT 1993. BEAUTIFUL WOOD COLUMNS ON 1ST FLOOR, 2 FULL BATHS, HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A DUPLEX. CAN BE CHANGED BACK TO SINGLE FAMILY.INFO C# 3291
-
1999-06-09$19,500 208-char remark
Show marketing remark (208 chars)
CROSS REFERENCE AS DUPLEX- SEPERATE ELECTRIC, FURNACE. NEW STEAM UNIT 1993. BEAUTIFUL WOOD COLUMNS ON 1ST FLOOR, 2 FULL BATHS, HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A DUPLEX. CAN BE CHANGED BACK TO SINGLE FAMILY.INFO C# 3291
-
1989-09-20soldstatus $16,000
-
1971-05-28soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $938 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$184/yr (+$15/mo · 24.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,028
- − Property taxes
- −$755
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,332
- − Management
- −$1,332
- − Depreciation
- −$2,092
- Taxable income
- $6,752
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $41,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.58%
- Current HPI
- 175.2772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+379.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $71,900 NORIS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $19,300 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $15,000 NORIS
- 2002-12-09 Sold (MLS) $15,000 NORIS
- 2002-07-22 Listed $17,900 NORIS
- 1999-10-29 Sold (MLS) $19,300 NORIS
- 1999-06-09 Listed $19,500 NORIS
- 1989-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1971-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $755 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…