🏗️ New Construction
Glenridge A Plan · Sunbury, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$353,058
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful ranch style rambler will provide many of the features your family desires. A welcoming covered porch that leads to an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bath. The spacious great room has a ten foot ceiling that adds to the open feel that would be perfect for family gatherings. The master suite features his and her walk-in closets, dual vanity, a garden tub and separate shower. The spacious living areas are sure to make this home irresistible.
Key facts
- Listed 671 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $353k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (18.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (28.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#274 in OH, #4,498 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Olentangy Local (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #18 of 656 in OH (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Johnnycake Corners Elementary School (math 81% / reading 83%, grade A+, #116 of 1,584 statewide, top 9%, 686 students, 2% FRL); Berkshire Middle School (math 80% / reading 80%, grade A+, #46 of 654 statewide, top 7%, 1,298 students, 4% FRL); Olentangy High School (math 76% / reading 90%, grade A, #21 of 781 statewide, top 3%, 1,688 students, 6% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 249 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 671 days — a 12% lower offer ($311k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 671 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.68%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 15.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $477,922
- List price
- $353,058
- Delta
- -26.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 N 3 Bs And K Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,738 (-14%) | 15mo | $325,000 | $187 | 47 |
| 7377 Whimbrel Ln | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 | 2,251 (+11%) | 15mo | $435,000 | $193 | 38 |
| 520 Cormorant Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,317 (+14%) | 15mo | $471,290 | $203 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.25×
- Total profit
- $-167,054
- Equity at exit
- $71,260
- IRR
- -85.7%
- Equity multiple
- -1.08×
- Total profit
- $-278,104
- Equity at exit
- $41,322
Cash invested: $133,818 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43074
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,532 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,506
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$597 /mo · $7,169/yr
- Insurance
- −$199
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $-1,303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-973 | -5% $-1,138 | +0% $-1,303 | +5% $-1,468 | +10% $-1,633 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,503 | -5% $-1,403 | +0% $-1,303 | +5% $-1,203 | +10% $-1,103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,062 | -0.5pp $-1,181 | base $-1,303 | +0.5pp $-1,427 | +1.0pp $-1,553 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,481
- Closing costs
- $14,338
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7205 Northlake Summit Dr Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1158 | $1,852 | $1.60 | 3d | 27 | 0.44mi |
| 7311 Blackwell Dr Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2812 | $2,897 | $1.03 | 9d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 560 Habitat Way Sunbury, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $3,299 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1155 S 3 Bs and K Rd Galena, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1978 | $3,290 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $353,058 Active 671 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $353,058 Active 668 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $353,058 Active 667 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $353,058 Active 666 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $353,058 Active 665 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $353,058 Active 663 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $353,058 Active 662 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $353,058 Active 659 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $353,058 Active 658 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $353,058 Active 657 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $353,058 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $353,058 Active 653 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $353,058 Active 652 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $353,058 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $353,058 Active 650 DOM
-
2024-08-19$353,058 Active 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
This beautiful ranch style rambler will provide many of the features your family desires. A welcoming covered porch that leads to an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bath. The spacious great room has a ten foot ceiling that adds to the open feel that would be perfect for family gatherings. The master suite features his and her walk-in closets, dual vanity, a garden tub and separate shower. The spacious living areas are sure to make this home irresistible.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,771
- − Property taxes
- −$7,169
- − Insurance
- −$2,390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,430
- − Management
- −$2,430
- − Depreciation
- −$13,903
- Taxable loss
- −$24,713
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,931
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olentangy Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904676
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,074
- Composite
- 75.56/100
- National rank
- #132
- State rank
- #18 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sunbury
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Delaware County · 203,207 people
- City population
- 16,873
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,873
- Household income
- $119,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 319.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -313.60%
- Current HPI
- 260.7213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.31%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2024-08-19 Listed $353,058 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…