659 Stephanie St · Level Park-Oak Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Front porch
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.8% in Level Park-Oak Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.96%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,357
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -11.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 647 Stephanie St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 3mo | $131,000 | $171 | 85 |
| 213 Broadway Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 2mo | $122,736 | $170 | 70 |
| 180 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $213 | 69 |
| 422 Wellington Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 763 (+6%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $66 | 67 |
| 639 Wellington Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 16mo | $80,000 | $119 | 67 |
| 601 Simmons Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+7%) | 17mo | $111,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 203 Broadway Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 196 Morgan Ave W | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 757 (+5%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 232 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 7mo | $137,900 | $205 | 56 |
| 244 N Woodlawn Ave N | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 8mo | $132,500 | $197 | 55 |
| 201 Sigel Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 694 (-4%) | 16mo | $139,000 | $200 | 48 |
| 214 N Woodlawn Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 19mo | $142,000 | $211 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,644
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $46,117
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49037
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $482/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $249 | +0% $219 | +5% $190 | +10% $160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $134 | -5% $177 | +0% $219 | +5% $262 | +10% $305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $272 | -0.5pp $246 | base $219 | +0.5pp $192 | +1.0pp $165 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Stringham Rd Battle Creek, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,075 | $1.26 | 14d | 7 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $104,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $104,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $104,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $112,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $112,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $112,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $112,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $112,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
-
2026-05-12price $112,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
-
2026-05-12price $112,000
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
-
2026-04-13$115,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
-
2026-04-13$115,000 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
-
2026-04-13$115,000 Active
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Looking for a home that has everything on the main floor, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, main floor laundry, eating area off the kitchen, Liivng room. 1 car attached garage, rear deck, front porch, fenced back yard.
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2024-10-01soldstatus $129,900
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2024-09-17soldstatus $129,900 Sold
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2024-09-17soldstatus $129,900 Closed
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2024-09-17soldstatus $129,900 Sold
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2024-08-05status Pending
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2024-08-05status Pending
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2024-08-05status Pending
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2024-08-02price $129,900
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2024-08-01price $129,900
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2024-08-01price $129,900
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2024-07-25$134,900 Active
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2024-07-25$134,900 Active
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2024-07-25$134,900 Active
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2024-04-26soldstatus $48,000 Sold
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2024-04-26soldstatus $48,000 Closed
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2024-04-26soldstatus $48,000 Sold
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2024-04-02status Pending
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2024-04-02status Pending
-
2024-04-02status Pending
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2024-03-22$44,900 Active
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2024-03-22$44,900 Active
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2024-03-22$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $482 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$567/yr (+$47/mo · 117.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,963
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$482
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,037
- − Management
- −$1,037
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $954
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$229
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Level Park-Oak Park
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Level Park-Oak Park, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,550
- Household income
- $42,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 717.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.62%
- Current HPI
- 273.2446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.76%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+149.4% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $112,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $112,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-08-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-05 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-08-02 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $129,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $134,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) $48,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-26 Sold (MLS) $48,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-04-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-02 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $44,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $482 · -46.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…