1102 Post Oak St · Hearne, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$87,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1102 Post Oak St in Hearne, TX! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home offers 1,220 sq ft of comfortable living space on a spacious corner lot. Move-in ready, this home features a garage, washer and dryer connections, and gas utilities. Enjoy the beautifully kept yard—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located on a quiet, pleasant street with convenient access to Hwy 6, this property combines small-town charm with great accessibility. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Corner lot
- 5,749 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1955; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Fenced backyard; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the fourth level; Bedroom on the third level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Gas fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.9% in Hearne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#611 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Hearne ISD (town): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #816 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Robertson County in 2023 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($608 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.75%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,980
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 W Davis St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 8 Patinka Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+0%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $135 | 67 |
| 705 Cedar St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+1%) | 23mo | $135,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 409 W Davis St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (+9%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 6 Patinka Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+1%) | 14mo | $189,500 | $153 | 60 |
| 9 Lenora Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+1%) | 14mo | $197,000 | $159 | 58 |
| 601 Pine St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,287 (+6%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $109 | 50 |
| 807 E Brown St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,311 (+8%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $164 | 46 |
| 1611 Hackberry St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (+10%) | 18mo | $235,000 | $176 | 38 |
| 802 Sunshine St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (+6%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $171 | 36 |
| 1607 Hackberry | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+10%) | 22mo | $238,000 | $178 | 35 |
| 4 Brady Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,381 (+13%) | 17mo | $249,900 | $181 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $60,658
- Equity at exit
- $79,187
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.86×
- Total profit
- $168,724
- Equity at exit
- $170,770
Cash invested: $24,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77859
- Home prices YoY
- 11.2%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $225 | +0% $200 | +5% $175 | +10% $150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $113 | -5% $156 | +0% $200 | +5% $243 | +10% $287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $222 | base $200 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,975
- Closing costs
- $2,637
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 New St Hearne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $87,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 510-char remark
-
2026-06-02$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,924
- − Property taxes
- −$2,058
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,557
- Taxable income
- $1,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$266
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hearne ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822830
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,858
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9655
- State rank
- #816 of 826 in TX
Livability — Hearne
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #611
- US rank
- #11586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hearne, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,516
Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,926 people
- By 2030
- 17,039 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,217 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 17,301 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 17,849 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 17,642 · +4.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 29% Two or more races 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Robertson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.6% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.4pp · 2024: -52.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+35.1 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+19.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.97%
- Current HPI
- 177.7117
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+16.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $90,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $90,000 BCSRMLS
- 2025-09-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-11 Sold (MLS) — BCSRMLS
- 2025-08-30 Pending — BCSRMLS
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $72,500 BCSRMLS
- 2025-07-19 Relisted — BCSRMLS
- 2025-07-11 Pending — BCSRMLS
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $75,000 BCSRMLS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $77,500 BCSRMLS
- 2010-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,058 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…