529 E Jersey St · Elizabeth, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$634,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent investment or owner-occupant opportunity! Spacious 3-family property featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath in each unit, Two units are vacant, Property offers separate utilities, a new roof, and on-street parking. Conveniently located near Trinitas Regional Medical Center, major highways, public transportation, schools, shopping, and just minutes to Newark Liberty International Airport and Jersey Gardens Mall. Ideal for investors seeking rental income or buyers looking to live in one unit and offset expenses. A strong income-producing opportunity in a high-demand location.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Separate utilities
- Near major highways
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $635k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $437/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $635k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.4% in Elizabeth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#277 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D-, crime D-.
- Elizabeth Public Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #430 of 472 in NJ (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1,749 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (1,421 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Union County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $178k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $635k implies a 568% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.86%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544 Broadway | 0.08mi | 9/3.0 | 2,416 | 8mo | $820,000 | $339 | 78 |
| 515 Livingston St | 0.06mi | 9/4.0 | — | 12mo | $745,000 | — | 70 |
| 411 Elizabeth Ave | 0.29mi | 9/3.0 | — | 9mo | $673,000 | — | 66 |
| 625 Court St | 0.25mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | — | 10mo | $720,000 | — | 62 |
| 513 Bond St | 0.30mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | — | 8mo | $765,000 | — | 58 |
| 221 Bond St | 0.59mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 2,509 | 20mo | $630,000 | $251 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $160,167
- Equity at exit
- $285,479
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $453,299
- Equity at exit
- $439,956
Cash invested: $177,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07206-2213
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 22.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,329
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$794 /mo · $9,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$265
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,515
- Net cashflow
- $1,312
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $7,215 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,405 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,405 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $2,405 |
| Total (3 units) | $7,215 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $158,725
- Closing costs
- $19,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
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2026-03-11status Under Contract
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2026-02-24$634,900 Active
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2011-06-20soldstatus $95,000
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2009-05-12$299,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,564
- − Property taxes
- −$9,524
- − Insurance
- −$3,174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,926
- − Management
- −$6,926
- − Depreciation
- −$18,470
- Taxable income
- $5,995
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,308/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elizabeth Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3404590
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,785
- Composite
- 18.05/100
- National rank
- #8979
- State rank
- #430 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Elizabeth
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #8270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elizabeth, NJ
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 596,450 people
- By 2030
- 616,880 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 658,185 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 696,707 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 785,448 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 836,583 · +40.3%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
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- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+112.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Pending — GSMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $634,900 GSMLS
- 2011-06-20 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GSMLS
- 2009-05-12 Listed $299,000 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…