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253 E Northside Dr
B- Composite 67.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

253 E Northside Dr · Jackson, MS 39206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1952 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this classic cottage in North Jackson!!! Home has 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and pretty hardwood floors!!! Back yard is just waiting for that fall cookout!!! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Don't miss it - call your agent for a showing today!!!

Key facts

  • Dedicated driveway
  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

BRICK VENEER EXTERIORINTEGRATED RAIN GUTTERSDEDICATED DRIVEWAYCOVERED CARPORT SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Nearby park

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); Driveway parking (total 2 parking spaces); Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Built with vinyl, brick, brick veneer and plaster; Conventional foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Slab patio/porch; Chain link and wood fencing; Lighting; Private yard; Rain gutters

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Wood-frame windows; Lighting; Private yard; Rain gutters
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,676/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1554% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
15.47%
Cash-on-cash
32.77%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4359 Brook Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,817 (-1%) 3mo $260,000 $143 68
4528 Meadowridge Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,714 (-7%) 4mo $199,900 $117 67
4650 Manila Dr 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,732 (-6%) 7mo $169,000 $98 64
4087 Redwing Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,870 (+2%) 7mo $225,000 $120 60
262 Iris Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,768 (-4%) 5mo $59,900 $34 56
4132 Council Cir 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,823 (-1%) 6mo $237,000 $130 56
4059 Council Cir 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,929 (+5%) 2mo $235,000 $122 54
4081 Pine Hill Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,713 (-7%) 6mo $180,000 $105 51
4081 Redwing Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 2,085 (+13%) 5mo $235,000 $113 41
971 Parkwood Pl 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,601 (-13%) 6mo $230,000 $144 38
1004 Meadow Heights Dr 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,061 (+12%) 1mo $285,000 $138 36
4018 Redwing Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-12%) 10mo $255,000 $157 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$28,967
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$80,577
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,676 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,536/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $806
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1744 $1,350 $0.77 43d 1 0.10mi
341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1732 $1,775 $1.02 23d 1 0.11mi
622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2210 $1,650 $0.75 23d 1 0.31mi
724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,150 $1.35 43d 1 0.44mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 23d 1 0.54mi
4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1551 $3,000 $1.93 23d 1 0.56mi
4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,850 $1.04 23d 1 0.57mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 43d 1 0.59mi
4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1678 $1,850 $1.10 43d 1 0.63mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 23d 1 0.66mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1270 $1,400 $1.10 23d 1 0.70mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1270 $1,400 $1.10 13d 1 0.70mi
701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,250 $0.88 23d 1 0.75mi
3611 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,800 $1.17 43d 1 0.98mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 13d 31 1.01mi
815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,300 $1.04 43d 1 1.13mi
612 Heather Ln Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,675 $1.02 23d 1 1.18mi
3309 N State St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,495 $1.15 13d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $89,900 Active
  18. 2020-05-19
    soldstatus
  19. 2012-10-30
    soldstatus 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Come see this classic cottage in North Jackson!!! Home has 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and pretty hardwood floors!!! Back yard is just waiting for that fall cookout!!! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Don't miss it - call your agent for a showing today!!!

  20. 2012-10-30
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Come see this classic cottage in North Jackson!!! Home has 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and pretty hardwood floors!!! Back yard is just waiting for that fall cookout!!! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Don't miss it - call your agent for a showing today!!!

  21. 2012-09-30
    listed $22,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Come see this classic cottage in North Jackson!!! Home has 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and pretty hardwood floors!!! Back yard is just waiting for that fall cookout!!! This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Don't miss it - call your agent for a showing today!!!

  22. 2007-11-09
    soldstatus
  23. 2002-12-03
    soldstatus
  24. 1965-06-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,536 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,536 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,118
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,536
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,609
− Management
−$1,609
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$7,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,743
After-tax cash flow
$6,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+308.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $89,900 MLSU
  • 2020-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-10-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2012-09-30 Listed $22,000 MLSU
  • 2007-11-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-12-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1965-06-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,536 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…