2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd · Howland Center, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.
Key facts
- Historic charm
- Spacious lot
- 1.05 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $101k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.9% in Howland Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#207 in OH, #3,283 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lakeview Local (suburban): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #89 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $697 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $101k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.00%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,310
- List price
- $100,800
- Delta
- -57.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $10,653
- Equity at exit
- $15,030
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $44,076
- Equity at exit
- $8,715
Cash invested: $28,224 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44410
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$529
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,200
- Closing costs
- $3,024
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $100,800 Pending 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,800 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,800 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,800 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,800 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,800 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $100,800 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.
-
2026-04-07price $111,000 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.
-
2026-03-06$123,000 Active 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.
-
2025-09-17status Active
-
2025-09-16historical
-
2025-07-13status Pending
-
2025-07-10$150,000 Active
-
2018-11-01soldstatus $50,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,448 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,510 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$62/yr (+$5/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,646
- − Property taxes
- −$1,448
- − Insurance
- −$504
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$2,932
- Taxable income
- $3,692
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$886
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeview Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905018
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,537
- Composite
- 64.59/100
- National rank
- #532
- State rank
- #89 of 656 in OH
Livability — Howland Center
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #3283
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Trumbull · 193,293 people
- City population
- 21,634
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,467
- Household income
- $63,158
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.8
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.39%
- Current HPI
- 202.4062
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+101.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $100,800 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $111,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-06 Listed $123,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-17 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2025-09-16 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-13 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-10 Listed $150,000 MLSNOW
- 2018-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,448 · -13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…