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2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd
B Composite 71.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,800

2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd · Howland Center, OH 44410
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1900 1.05 ac lot $75/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Historic charm
  • Spacious lot
  • 1.05 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTLAKEVIEW SCHOOL DISTRICTHISTORIC CHARM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $101k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $101k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.9% in Howland Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#207 in OH, #3,283 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lakeview Local (suburban): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #89 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $697 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $101k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,752 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.33%
Cash-on-cash
18.00%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,310
List price
$100,800
Delta
-57.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$10,653
Equity at exit
$15,030
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$44,076
Equity at exit
$8,715

Cash invested: $28,224 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44410

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$529
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,448/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,800
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,200
Closing costs
$3,024
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $100,800 Pending 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,800 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,800 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,800 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,800 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,800 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-05-01
    price $100,800 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.

  8. 2026-04-07
    price $111,000 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.

  9. 2026-03-06
    listed $123,000 Active 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (407 chars)

    Historic Charm & Endless Potential on Over an Acre! Welcome to 2432 Cadwallader Sonk Rd, a classic conventional-style home situated on a spacious 1.05-acre lot in the desirable Lakeview School District. 1 Built in 1900, this property offers a unique opportunity for investors or DIY enthusiasts looking to restore a piece of history or create their dream country retreat. selling the property AS-IS.

  10. 2025-09-17
    status Active
  11. 2025-09-16
    historical
  12. 2025-07-13
    status Pending
  13. 2025-07-10
    listed $150,000 Active
  14. 2018-11-01
    soldstatus $50,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,448 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,510 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$62/yr (+$5/mo · 4.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,932
− Mortgage interest
−$5,646
− Property taxes
−$1,448
− Insurance
−$504
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$2,932
Taxable income
$3,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$886
After-tax cash flow
$4,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeview Local
NCES district ID
3905018
Math proficiency
76% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,537
Composite
64.59/100
National rank
#532
State rank
#89 of 656 in OH

Livability — Howland Center

Score
76/100
State rank
#207
US rank
#3283

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Trumbull · 193,293 people
City population
21,634
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,467
Household income
$63,158
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
9.8

Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
191,696 people
By 2030
184,015 · -4.0%
By 2040
166,810 · -13.0%
By 2050
149,857 · -21.8%
By 2075
115,769 · -39.6%
By 2100
83,617 · -56.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
2008→2024 swing
-39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.39%
Current HPI
202.4062
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $100,800 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $111,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $123,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-17 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-16 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-13 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-10 Listed $150,000 MLSNOW
  • 2018-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,448 · -13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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