6150 E Avenue T #49 · Palmdale, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this move-in ready home located in a well-maintained community in East Palmdale! Situated at 6150 E Ave T Space 49, this charming residence offers comfortable living with an inviting floor plan, perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking affordable homeownership. Enjoy the benefit of LOW space rent while living in a convenient location close to local schools, shopping centers, restaurants, parks, and everyday amenities. Commuters will appreciate the easy access to nearby freeways and major thoroughfares, making travel throughout the Antelope Valley and surrounding areas simple and convenient. This well-kept home combines affordability, comfort, and convenience i
Key facts
- 2,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit label/insignia number: 131380; Serial number: 505529203X; Length: 100 ft, Width: 10 ft; Dec number: AAE6303
- HOA & community: Park name: Joshua View MHP; Park manager: Olvin; New space rent / park deposit: $890
Exterior
- Utilities: 100 amp electrical service; Individual utility meter
- Home design: Mobile home (space #49); Includes porch; All ages park
- Construction: Metal roof; Siding exterior; Manufactured in 1965; Skirted; Model/Trade name: Sahara
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Clubhouse/rec room (park amenity)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace; Refrigerator wall/window unit
- Interior features: Gas range; Porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $146k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $142k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 4.5% in Palmdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#861 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Keppel Union Elementary (rural): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,089 of 1,400 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,655/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 747% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($142k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.20%
- DSCR
- 3.46
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $96,100
- Equity at exit
- $21,754
- IRR
- 58.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.83×
- Total profit
- $238,022
- Equity at exit
- $12,615
Cash invested: $40,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93552
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,655 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$765
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$182 /mo · $2,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$768
- Net cashflow
- $1,879
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,475
- Closing costs
- $4,377
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36805 Alder St Palmdale, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $2,700 | $2.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 37210 Sabal Ave Palmdale, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$145,900 Active
-
2026-04-29historical
-
2026-02-18price $146,000
-
2025-12-30price $147,000
-
2025-12-30price $147,000
-
2025-10-17price $148,000
-
2025-10-17price $148,000
-
2025-10-06$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥99°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,173
- − Property taxes
- −$2,188
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,509
- − Management
- −$3,509
- − Depreciation
- −$4,244
- Taxable income
- $21,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,162
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home in Palmdale offers a good condition with modern updates and a good location. It is ready for a new owner or renter to move in.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Improves curb appeal and can increase property value.
- Both Upgrading HVAC units — Improves comfort and can increase property value.
- Both Adding a small outdoor entertainment area — Can increase property value and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Improves curb appeal and can increase property value. ↑
- Both Upgrading HVAC units — Improves comfort and can increase property value. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor entertainment area — Can increase property value and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keppel Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0619440
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,099
- Composite
- 27.26/100
- National rank
- #12432
- State rank
- #1089 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Palmdale
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #861
- US rank
- #23501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmdale, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 177,644
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,639
- Household income
- $85,954
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 747.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 21% Black 13% White 11% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 55% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.00%
- Current HPI
- 394.1607
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $145,900 AVMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $146,000 AVMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $147,000 AVMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $147,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $148,000 AVMLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $148,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $160,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…