3044 Amherst · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS SPECIAL This home features a large living room, spacious bedrooms and a covered carport. It also sits just off major roads giving you an easy route to anywhere in the city Sold AS IS no warranties and in current condition.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Large living room
- 7,432 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.39%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,528
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -2.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3044 Amherst | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (0%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $51 | 100 |
| 6546 W Canal Blvd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,351 (-2%) | 1mo | $36,000 | $27 | 79 |
| 3038 Meadow Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (+0%) | 11mo | $56,000 | $41 | 68 |
| 6525 W Canal Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,281 (-7%) | 10mo | $54,900 | $43 | 66 |
| 2738 Sunnybrook St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-2%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $73 | 66 |
| 6309 Quilen Blvd | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,238 (-10%) | 6mo | $65,900 | $53 | 63 |
| 3241 Wagner St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,291 (-6%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $15 | 61 |
| 2927 Despot Rd | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,509 (+10%) | 11mo | $53,900 | $36 | 60 |
| 3229 Wagner St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,235 (-10%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $35 | 58 |
| 7205 Gregory St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,479 (+8%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $51 | 52 |
| 3206 Lancaster St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (-8%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $32 | 50 |
| 2754 Lakehurst Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,214 (-12%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $45 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $4,099
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $21,886
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71108
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $711/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $595 | $0.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2943 Hillcrest Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 20d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3437 Red Bud Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1393 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3306 Valley View Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7504 W Canal Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,150 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $975 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 749 W 68th St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $800 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7137 Burlingame Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $700 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $825 | $0.85 | 20d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4021 Theo St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
INVESTORS SPECIAL This home features a large living room, spacious bedrooms and a covered carport. It also sits just off major roads giving you an easy route to anywhere in the city Sold AS IS no warranties and in current condition.
-
2026-04-03$70,000 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
INVESTORS SPECIAL This home features a large living room, spacious bedrooms and a covered carport. It also sits just off major roads giving you an easy route to anywhere in the city Sold AS IS no warranties and in current condition.
-
2025-03-17historical $850
-
2025-03-07$850
-
2024-03-16historical $850
-
2024-03-13$850
-
1997-01-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $711 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $711 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$711
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$859
- − Management
- −$859
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,001
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$480
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,072
- Household income
- $32,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1526.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.98%
- Current HPI
- 58.1377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $70,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-17 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-07 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-16 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 1997-01-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $711 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…