146 Kelley Smith School Rd · Palatka, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Metal roof
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing; Workshop on the property; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heat; Central air
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($720/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Palatka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#839 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kelley Smith Elementary School (math 58% / reading 57%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 753 students, 54% FRL); Putnam Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 177 students, 75% FRL, charter); Palatka Jr - Sr High School (math 13% / reading 30%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,639 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $175k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.47%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,566
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Jackson Cir | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+5%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $158 | 76 |
| 112 County Road 309c | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-3%) | 13mo | $217,000 | $181 | 70 |
| 1110 Tierra Woods Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (+6%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 7208 Andrew Jackson St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 23mo | $235,000 | $204 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-25,708
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-22,195
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32177
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,172/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $110 | +0% $60 | +5% $10 | +10% $-39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-55 | -5% $3 | +0% $60 | +5% $117 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $104 | base $60 | +0.5pp $15 | +1.0pp $-32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Herja Acre Ln Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7017 Silver Lake Dr Lot 14 Palatka, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,290 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6401 Saint Johns Ave Palatka, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 647 | $1,144 | $1.77 | 14d | 8 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-06$175,000 Active
-
2025-09-30historical 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
-
2025-06-02status Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
-
2025-06-01historical 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
-
2025-01-08price $249,900 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
-
2025-01-08$239,900 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Perfect for anyone that does home business or needs storage for all their toys. Brand new HVAC Unit to keep you cool all summer long!.Car enthusiasts would have ample inside parking. Three detached buildings for workshops, home office and crafting etc, you could even convert to guest space. Home is huge with attached two car garage. Large eat in kitchen with new built ins and tons of cabinets. Great location on edge of town but not in city limits for lower property taxes.
-
2024-01-26status Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2024-01-16historical Active Under Contract 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2024-01-05status Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-12-11status Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-12-06status Pending 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-12-06historical 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-12-06historical 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-11-14price $239,900 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2023-07-22$249,900 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Wonderful location close to town but not in the city limits! Large lot with fenced front and backyard. 660 square foot detached workshop and 2 car attached garage as well as ample attic space give you so much storage space. Metal roof and brick stucco finish for low maintenance. Updated cabinets in the kitchen, some original wood floors in some rooms and new laminate flooring being installed in kitchen and dining room. Priced right so you can do your own cosmetic touches to make it perfect for you.
-
2014-09-12soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,172 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$280/yr (+$23/mo · 23.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,442
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,172
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,395
- − Management
- −$1,395
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,289
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$549
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam
- NCES district ID
- 1201620
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,350
- Composite
- 29.99/100
- National rank
- #6361
- State rank
- #66 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palatka
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #839
- US rank
- #20793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Putnam County · 25,645 people
- City population
- 25,645
- Metro
- Palatka, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,645
- Household income
- $47,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 806.0
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,299 people
- By 2030
- 61,255 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 52,930 · -18.9%
- By 2050
- 45,051 · -31.0%
- By 2075
- 28,720 · -56.0%
- By 2100
- 15,852 · -75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.10%
- Current HPI
- 223.1966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.23%
- Metro
- Palatka, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+105.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $175,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-06-02 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-06-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $249,900 realMLS
- 2025-01-08 Listed $239,900 realMLS
- 2024-01-26 Relisted — realMLS
- 2024-01-16 Contingent — realMLS
- 2024-01-05 Relisted — realMLS
- 2023-12-11 Relisted — realMLS
- 2023-12-06 Pending — realMLS
- 2023-12-06 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-12-06 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2023-11-14 Price Changed $239,900 realMLS
- 2023-07-22 Listed $249,900 realMLS
- 2014-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,172 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…