812 Continental Blvd · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1.5 STY UPDATED HOME FEATURES 2 BEDS ON MAIN LEVEL, & HUGE MASTER UP. FULL BATH MAIN. 1/2 LOWER. NEW FURNACE, ROOF, 100AMP SERVICE. 2.5 CAR GARAGE. HOME ON QUIET STREET. JUST NEEDS PAINT & A LITTLE TLC.
Key facts
- 6,600 sq ft lot
- 520 garage spots
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half levels; No attached units / no common walls; Residential zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Barbed wire fencing; Asphalt driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level) — approx. 14 x 11; Water heater included
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (main level) — approx. 12 x 11; Bedroom 2 (main level) — approx. 14 x 12; Bedroom 3 (upper level) — approx. 19 x 12
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (total 1.5 bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm doors; Partially finished basement; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Keyser Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,471 of 1,584 statewide, top 95%, 306 students, 0% FRL); Rogers High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.40%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,967
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -18.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Carver Blvd | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,062 (+10%) | 2mo | $88,500 | $83 | 77 |
| 735 Southbriar Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (-4%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $77 | 76 |
| 4111 Kingsley Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+2%) | 7mo | $133,500 | $135 | 67 |
| 706 Carver Blvd | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (+14%) | 2mo | $127,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 4115 Kingsley Ct | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+6%) | 7mo | $159,250 | $155 | 60 |
| 327 Clifton Rd | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+7%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 726 Southbriar Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+11%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 706 N Byrne Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 983 (+1%) | 16mo | $103,000 | $105 | 47 |
| 4248 Hunters Trail Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+14%) | 6mo | $173,900 | $158 | 47 |
| 828 Secor Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,043 (+8%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $110 | 43 |
| 350 Kingswood Trail Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+14%) | 17mo | $120,000 | $109 | 35 |
| 41 Dickens Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+13%) | 11mo | $68,500 | $62 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $708
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $41,635
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,112 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,689/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3776 Hill Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $735 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3414 Dorr St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 570 | $825 | $1.45 | 23d | 5 | 0.81mi |
| 1130 Pine Valley Ln Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,299 | $1.63 | 14d | 6 | 0.86mi |
| 1101 Linden Ln Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,345 | $1.38 | 43d | 4 | 1.02mi |
| 1169 Shadow Ln Unit 103 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $849 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4020 W Bancroft St Ottawa Hills, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $775 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4012 W Bancroft St Ottawa Hills, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $972 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1700 Secor Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,199 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4825 Hill Ave Unit 34 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $595 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4515 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1599 Twin Oaks Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $976 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5007 Hill Ave Unit 5 H Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $850 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1318 Montain Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,195 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 141-char remark
-
2026-04-15$99,900 Active 141-char remark
-
2025-10-09price $74,200 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
1.5 STY UPDATED HOME FEATURES 2 BEDS ON MAIN LEVEL, & HUGE MASTER UP. FULL BATH MAIN. 1/2 LOWER. NEW FURNACE, ROOF, 100AMP SERVICE. 2.5 CAR GARAGE. HOME ON QUIET STREET. JUST NEEDS PAINT & A LITTLE TLC.
-
2014-12-11soldstatus $32,000
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great Income Opportunity! Tenant occupied many updates- clean home!
-
2014-11-22$32,000
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
Great Income Opportunity! Tenant occupied many updates- clean home!
-
2014-11-16historical
-
2014-05-21$46,000
-
2004-12-28soldstatus $59,900
-
2004-11-02price $59,900
-
2004-10-22$59,000
-
1999-06-02soldstatus $74,200
-
1999-05-28soldstatus $74,200 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
1.5 STY UPDATED HOME FEATURES 2 BEDS ON MAIN LEVEL, & HUGE MASTER UP. FULL BATH MAIN. 1/2 LOWER. NEW FURNACE, ROOF, 100AMP SERVICE. 2.5 CAR GARAGE. HOME ON QUIET STREET. JUST NEEDS PAINT & A LITTLE TLC.
-
1999-05-11$76,900 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
1.5 STY UPDATED HOME FEATURES 2 BEDS ON MAIN LEVEL, & HUGE MASTER UP. FULL BATH MAIN. 1/2 LOWER. NEW FURNACE, ROOF, 100AMP SERVICE. 2.5 CAR GARAGE. HOME ON QUIET STREET. JUST NEEDS PAINT & A LITTLE TLC.
-
1986-10-31soldstatus $41,000
-
1976-07-15soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,689 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,689 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,689
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,068
- − Management
- −$1,068
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $523
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$125
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $41,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.58%
- Current HPI
- 175.2772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+216.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $95,000 NORIS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $99,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $74,200 NORIS
- 2014-12-11 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NORIS
- 2014-11-22 Listed $32,000 NORIS
- 2014-11-16 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2014-05-21 Listed $46,000 NORIS
- 2004-12-28 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORIS
- 2004-11-02 Price Changed $59,900 NORIS
- 2004-10-22 Listed $59,000 NORIS
- 1999-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,200 Public Records
- 1999-05-28 Sold (MLS) $74,200 NORIS
- 1999-05-18 Price Changed $76,900 NORIS
- 1999-05-11 Listed $76,900 NORIS
- 1986-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1976-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,689 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…