🔨 Auction
30450 M 152 · Silver Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$27,122
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
Key facts
- 0.69 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-295 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dowagiac Union School District (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #430 of 540 in MI (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.27%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 14.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,940
- List price
- $27,122
- Delta
- -88.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-57,790
- Equity at exit
- $35,776
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-75,046
- Equity at exit
- $20,746
Cash invested: $67,183 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49047
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $551/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $-295
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,985
- Closing costs
- $7,198
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,122 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $27,122 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $27,122 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $27,122 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $27,122 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $27,122 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,122 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,122 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,122 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $27,122 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-12price $27,122 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
-
2026-05-12price $27,122 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
-
2026-05-12price $27,122
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
-
2026-04-10$28,549 Active 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
-
2026-04-10$28,549 Active
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
-
2026-04-10$28,549 Active 659-char remark
Show marketing remark (659 chars)
30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047
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1993-10-15soldstatus $55,500
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1993-10-15soldstatus $55,500
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1993-01-23$51,500
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1993-01-23$51,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,851
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,440
- − Property taxes
- −$551
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$6,980
- Taxable loss
- −$8,016
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,924
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,613/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dowagiac Union School District
- NCES district ID
- 2612150
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,741
- Composite
- 21.03/100
- National rank
- #8452
- State rank
- #430 of 540 in MI
Livability — Silver Creek
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,506
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,919 people
- By 2030
- 48,320 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 44,230 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 39,852 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 31,440 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 23,914 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.04%
- Current HPI
- 186.2757
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-47.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 REALCOMP
- 1993-10-15 Sold (MLS) $55,500 REALCOMP
- 1993-10-15 Sold (MLS) $55,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1993-01-23 Listed $51,500 REALCOMP
- 1993-01-23 Listed $51,500 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $551 · -57.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…