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30450 M 152 🔨 Auction
F Composite 27.15
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$27,122

30450 M 152 · Silver Creek, MI 49047
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1972 0.69 ac lot ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

Key facts

  • 0.69 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $27,122 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $239,940 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-295 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Dowagiac Union School District (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #430 of 540 in MI (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $25,494 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
14.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,940
List price
$27,122
Delta
-88.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.4%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-57,790
Equity at exit
$35,776
10-year hold
IRR
-21.8%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-75,046
Equity at exit
$20,746

Cash invested: $67,183 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49047

Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $551/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$-295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,777
Max offer price $187,866
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,985
Closing costs
$7,198
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $27,122 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $27,122 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $27,122 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $27,122 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $27,122 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $27,122 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,122 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,122 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,122 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,122 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-05-12
    price $27,122 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  12. 2026-05-12
    price $27,122 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  13. 2026-05-12
    price $27,122
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  14. 2026-04-10
    listed $28,549 Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $28,549 Active
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  16. 2026-04-10
    listed $28,549 Active 659-char remark
    Show marketing remark (659 chars)

    30450 M152 Dowagiac MI 49047 Online Auction ends 5/13/26 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch style home with attached 2 car garage on a . 69 acre lot. Property has notice of Municipal Conditions Raze Only from the township. Please see notice in documents. ached 2 car garage on a . 69-acre lot. Buyer to verify all data. To submit offers or view additional property details, please visit www. MyNextBid.com. All bids/offersare subject to Seller approval (minimums may apply). Please contact the listing agent for further details. Richard Stewart REO Specialists llc 269-345-7000 Submit all offers at https://mynextbid.com/property/2856/30450-Michigan-152-Dowagiac-MI-49047

  17. 1993-10-15
    soldstatus $55,500
  18. 1993-10-15
    soldstatus $55,500
  19. 1993-01-23
    listed $51,500
  20. 1993-01-23
    listed $51,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$551 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$551 · $46/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,851
− Mortgage interest
−$13,440
− Property taxes
−$551
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$6,980
Taxable loss
−$8,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,924
After-tax cash flow
$-1,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dowagiac Union School District
NCES district ID
2612150
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,741
Composite
21.03/100
National rank
#8452
State rank
#430 of 540 in MI

Livability — Silver Creek

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,506

Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,919 people
By 2030
48,320 · -3.2%
By 2040
44,230 · -11.4%
By 2050
39,852 · -20.2%
By 2075
31,440 · -37.0%
By 2100
23,914 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cass

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -188.04%
Current HPI
186.2757
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $27,122 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $28,549 REALCOMP
  • 1993-10-15 Sold (MLS) $55,500 REALCOMP
  • 1993-10-15 Sold (MLS) $55,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1993-01-23 Listed $51,500 REALCOMP
  • 1993-01-23 Listed $51,500 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $551 · -57.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…