831 E 27th St · Wilmington, DE
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The renovations and updates have just been completed on this brick townhouse featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Enter into the main level living room and adjacent kitchen with unique breakfast bar by the front windows. The kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, appliances, quartz counters and bright LED lighting. New LVP flooring throughout. Also on this level are two bedrooms plus an updated bath. Downstairs is a family room/den area with laundry hookup plus another bedroom and full bath. Access the rear yard and off-street parking spot from this level. Lots of closet space available.
Key facts
- Quartz counters
- Updated cabinets
- Unique breakfast bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($302/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#52 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, commute D, crime F.
- Brandywine School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #11 of 26 in DE (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carrcroft Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #50 of 105 statewide, top 53%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Springer Middle School (math 24% / reading 40%, grade F, #15 of 36 statewide, top 40%, 797 students, 0% FRL); Brandywine High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #12 of 40 statewide, top 31%, 950 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.52%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,408
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -5.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1880 Superfine Ln #5 | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-12%) | 19mo | $105,000 | $175 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-27,899
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,254
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19802
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,591 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $588/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $25
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $143 | -5% $84 | +0% $25 | +5% $-34 | +10% $-93 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-101 | -5% $-38 | +0% $25 | +5% $88 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $78 | base $25 | +0.5pp $-29 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 E 28th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 6 W 20th St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,395 | $2.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 312 Concord Ave Unit 2 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 312 Concord Ave Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,195 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2 Colony Blvd Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $2,500 | $2.25 | 0d | 6 | 0.82mi |
| 101 W 10th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $2,150 | $2.94 | 0d | 13 | 1.07mi |
| 1001 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,135 | $2.56 | 0d | 61 | 1.07mi |
| 913 N Market St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,985 | $2.04 | 45d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 116 W 9th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,270 | $2.79 | 0d | 17 | 1.16mi |
| 801 N Market St Unit 206 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,495 | $2.05 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 801 N Market St Unit 206 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,495 | $2.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 801 N Market St Unit 301 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,725 | $2.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 15 W Girard St Unit 105 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,645 | $2.22 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 801 N Orange St Wilmington, DE | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1118 | $3,211 | $2.87 | 0d | 115 | 1.20mi |
| 164 Paladin Dr Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,400 | $2.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 824 N West St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,262 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4310 Miller Rd Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,409 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 703 Orange St Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,475 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 517 N Shipley St Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $2,670 | $3.25 | 0d | 15 | 1.34mi |
| 600 N Washington St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,275 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2 W 4th St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $1,908 | $3.06 | 5d | 5 | 1.40mi |
| 517 N West St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,295 | $2.00 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 507 N West St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,225 | $2.45 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 225 W 4th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,399 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 822 N Adams St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,225 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 210 N Market St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,705 | $2.28 | 0d | 5 | 1.47mi |
| 800 N Adams St Wilmington, DE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,195 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $209,000 Pending 106 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $209,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $225,000 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
The renovations and updates have just been completed on this brick townhouse featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Enter into the main level living room and adjacent kitchen with unique breakfast bar by the front windows. The kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, appliances, quartz counters and bright LED lighting. New LVP flooring throughout. Also on this level are two bedrooms plus an updated bath. Downstairs is a family room/den area with laundry hookup plus another bedroom and full bath. Access the rear yard and off-street parking spot from this level. Lots of closet space available.
-
2026-02-22$239,900 Active 601-char remark
Show marketing remark (601 chars)
The renovations and updates have just been completed on this brick townhouse featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Enter into the main level living room and adjacent kitchen with unique breakfast bar by the front windows. The kitchen has been updated with new cabinets, appliances, quartz counters and bright LED lighting. New LVP flooring throughout. Also on this level are two bedrooms plus an updated bath. Downstairs is a family room/den area with laundry hookup plus another bedroom and full bath. Access the rear yard and off-street parking spot from this level. Lots of closet space available.
-
2024-11-06status Active
-
2024-11-06historical
-
2024-10-14status Pending
-
2024-09-19$59,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $588 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$312/yr (+$26/mo · 53.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$588
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,528
- − Management
- −$1,528
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$3,379
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$811
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,112/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brandywine School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001240
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,743
- Composite
- 31.27/100
- National rank
- #6019
- State rank
- #11 of 26 in DE
Livability — Wilmington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #14251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmington, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 173,480
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,051
- Household income
- $53,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1816.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -296.47%
- Current HPI
- 225.6613
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.72%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+275.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-22 Listed $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-19 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2024): $588 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…