15618 Jackson Hwy · Cincinnati, AR 72704

$260,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 2022 5.89 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• 1% rule +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Located just 20 minutes west of the Wedington exit and 20 minutes south of Siloam Springs, this beautiful 5.8-acre property offers the perfect blend of country charm and convenience. The land is flat, open, fenced, and has paved road frontage—ideal for enjoying peaceful rural living with easy access to town. The 2022 mobile home features 1,512 sq ft with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, offering a warm and inviting layout. Inside, you’ll find LVP flooring, a spacious kitchen with island, furnished appliances, a walk-in pantry, cozy living room built-ins, and a private master suite with a walk-in closet. Step outside to the large deck and take in the quiet countryside, whether you&rsq

Key facts

• Flat open land
• 5.8 acre property
• Paved road frontage

Tags

• 5.8 ACRE PROPERTY
• FLAT OPEN LAND
• FENCED LAND
• PAVED ROAD FRONTAGE
• SPACIOUS KITCHEN WITH ISLAND
• WALK-IN PANTRY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($629/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (19.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $209k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Siloam Springs School District (town): math 44% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #53 of 238 in AR (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Delbert Pete & Pat Allen Ele (667 students, 62% FRL); Siloam Springs Intermediate School (math 44% / reading 42%, grade D-, #70 of 201 statewide, top 38%, 700 students, 59% FRL); Siloam Springs High School Conversion Charter (math 33% / reading 37%, grade F, #90 of 292 statewide, top 31%, 1,402 students, 49% FRL, charter).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 550 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,494 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (1,497 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Washington County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $208,821 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.80% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.96%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.44×
• Total profit: $-40,612
• Equity at exit: $38,767

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.47×
• Total profit: $-38,414
• Equity at exit: $22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 72704

• Home prices YoY: -20.2%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 550
• Price-to-rent: 10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,088 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,363
• Tax from tax record: −$59 /mo · $708/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$439
• Net cashflow: $52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,022

Max offer price $260,000

Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $200	-5% $126	+0% $52	+5% $-21	+10% $-95
Rent	-10% $-113	-5% $-30	+0% $52	+5% $135	+10% $217
Rate	-1.0pp $183	-0.5pp $119	base $52	+0.5pp $-15	+1.0pp $-83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $65,000
• Closing costs: $7,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-23
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-02
   listed $260,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $708 · $59/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,664 · $139/mo
• Expected delta: +$956/yr (+$80/mo · 135.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,059
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,564
• − Property taxes: −$708
• − Insurance: −$2,098
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,005
• − Management: −$2,005
• − Depreciation: −$7,564
• Taxable loss: −$3,884
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$932
• After-tax cash flow: $1,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Siloam Springs School District
• NCES district ID: 0512450
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $46,222
• Composite: 35.81/100
• National rank: #4828
• State rank: #53 of 238 in AR

Livability — Cincinnati

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Washington County · 252,056 people
• City population: 910
• Metro: Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
• Population (ZIP): 32,497
• Household income: $96,014
• Rent vs Own: 34.5% rent · 65.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 883.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 271,748 people
• By 2030: 296,414 · +9.1%
• By 2040: 346,874 · +27.6%
• By 2050: 398,552 · +46.7%
• By 2075: 523,309 · +92.6%
• By 2100: 615,280 · +126.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.1% · R 51.7% · Other 3.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -6.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+6.7 2020: R+3.9 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -73.44%
• Current HPI: 289.7478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.17%
• Metro: Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Pending — NWARMLS
• 2026-04-02 Listed $260,000 NWARMLS

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $708 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.