3231 Roesner Dr · Markham, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.89%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Huge sprawling 4 bed, 2 bath ranch in a sought-after South Suburban location! This spacious home offers endless potential with large living areas, generous bedroom sizes, and a layout perfect for creating your dream home. Situated on a huge fenced-in yard, there is plenty of room for entertaining, pets, or outdoor enjoyment. Property is being sold as-is, where-is, making it a great opportunity for investors, rehabbers, or buyers looking to add their own finishing touches. Don't miss the chance to make this beautiful ranch your own!
Key facts
- Sprawling ranch
- Large living areas
- Fenced-in yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: Assessor; Possession at closing; Earnest money held
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story residence; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2026
- Construction: Frame construction; Built 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 120; Lot is less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (12 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level (20 x 18); Bedroom — 15 x 12 (main level); Bedroom — 12 x 12 (main level); Bedroom — 12 x 12 (main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $88k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.32%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15433 Crocket Ln | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 | 1,422 (+6%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $42 | 61 |
| 15235 Lawndale Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,394 (+4%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 15300 Parkside Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $123 | 58 |
| 3469 W 155th St | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 1,372 (+2%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $190 | 58 |
| 15053 Lawndale Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,379 (+3%) | 6mo | $247,500 | $179 | 55 |
| 15222 Hamlin Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,412 (+5%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 15328 Parkside Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-9%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $127 | 51 |
| 15215 Hamlin Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,405 (+4%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $170 | 51 |
| 15450 Millard Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,435 (+7%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $171 | 48 |
| 15222 Lawndale Ave | 0.56mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,169 (-13%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $244 | 46 |
| 14832 Clifton Park Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,474 (+10%) | 0mo | $269,000 | $182 | 46 |
| 15700 Turner Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 | 1,536 (+14%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $130 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.77×
- Total profit
- $121,363
- Equity at exit
- $103,511
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.69×
- Total profit
- $311,683
- Equity at exit
- $223,225
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,477 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$386 /mo · $4,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $985 | -5% $953 | +0% $920 | +5% $888 | +10% $855 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $724 | -5% $822 | +0% $920 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $1,116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $949 | base $920 | +0.5pp $890 | +1.0pp $860 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3952 153rd St Midlothian, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $2,396 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14336 S Harrison Ave Posen, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1707 | $2,600 | $1.52 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$114,900 Active
-
2009-02-03soldstatus $88,000
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,636 · $386/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,636 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 89% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$4,636
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,378
- − Management
- −$2,378
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $9,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,395
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- City population
- 10,980
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+167.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2023): $4,636 · +263.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…