1383 Fair St #7 · Clarkston, WA 99403

$19,999

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · Manufactured · 164 Days on market

Built 1965 ↓ 26% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable! This 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom home is located in a welcoming mobile home park close to shopping, transit, and everyday amenities. Enjoy newer vinyl windows for energy efficiency and comfort, washer/dryer hookups for added convenience, and a functional layout featuring a dining room just off the kitchen—perfect for mealtime or entertaining. Bright and cozy interior with great potential for personalization. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard ideal for pets, a generous parking area with space for multiple vehicles, and a ramp to the front door for easy accessibility. Don't miss out on this great opportunity for comfortable, affordable living!

Key facts

• Newer vinyl windows
• Washer dryer hookups
• Ramp to front door

Tags

• NEWER VINYL WINDOWS
• WASHER DRYER HOOKUPS
• FULLY FENCED YARD
• GENEROUS PARKING AREA
• RAMP TO FRONT DOOR

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
• Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 54.6% vs local median 3.1% in Clarkston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#246 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
• Clarkston School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #172 of 291 in WA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Grantham Elementary (302 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 51% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 101 units permitted in Asotin County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Asotin County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $17,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.98% ✓
• Cap rate: 54.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 172.69%
• DSCR: 8.68
• GRM: 1.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $146,520
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1433 Maple St	0.40mi	2/1.0	720 (+9%)	13mo	$160,000	$222	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 8.84×
• Total profit: $43,910
• Equity at exit: $2,982

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 18.70×
• Total profit: $99,113
• Equity at exit: $1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 99403

• Active inventory: 249
• Price-to-rent: 1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,195 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$105
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$25 /mo · $300/yr
• Insurance: −$8
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$251
• Net cashflow: $739

Break-even live

Break-even rent $259

Max offer price $19,999

Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $753	-5% $746	+0% $739	+5% $732	+10% $726
Rent	-10% $645	-5% $692	+0% $739	+5% $787	+10% $834
Rate	-1.0pp $749	-0.5pp $744	base $739	+0.5pp $734	+1.0pp $729

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $5,000
• Closing costs: $600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1600 Chestnut St Clarkston, WA	1.0–2.0	1.0	750	$1,195	$1.59	44d	3	0.89mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-03-09
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-22
   price $19,999
3. 2026-01-07
   price $24,999
4. 2025-09-26
   listed $27,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,340
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,120
• − Property taxes: −$300
• − Insurance: −$897
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,147
• − Management: −$1,147
• − Depreciation: −$582
• Taxable income: $9,146
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,195
• After-tax cash flow: $6,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clarkston School District
• NCES district ID: 5301320
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $42,030
• Composite: 42.03/100
• National rank: #7065
• State rank: #172 of 291 in WA

Livability — Clarkston

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #246
• US rank: #7868

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Clarkston, WA
• Population (ZIP): 20,483

Population outlook (Asotin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,623 people
• By 2030: 22,746 · +0.5%
• By 2040: 22,597 · -0.1%
• By 2050: 21,947 · -3.0%
• By 2075: 19,478 · -13.9%
• By 2100: 16,206 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Asotin

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.6) · D 35.8% · R 61.5% · Other 2.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -25.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+26.8 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -346.91%
• Current HPI: 173.3027
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

-25.9% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-09 Pending — IMLS
• 2026-01-22 Price Changed $19,999 IMLS
• 2026-01-07 Price Changed $24,999 IMLS
• 2025-09-26 Listed $27,000 IMLS