2372 Bell Way · Forney, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,459
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 21080204 - Built by First Texas Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- 5,968 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (23.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $259k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.1% in Forney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2179 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $385,165
- List price
- $339,459
- Delta
- -11.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-72,237
- Equity at exit
- $50,614
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-96,026
- Equity at exit
- $29,350
Cash invested: $95,049 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2179
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,587 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,780
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$65
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$543
- Net cashflow
- $-207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,865
- Closing costs
- $10,184
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1374 Chisos Way Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1876 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2058 | $2,950 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1869 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $3,499 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1874 Purtis Creek Dr Forney, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2212 | $3,099 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1888 Everglades Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1961 | $3,235 | $1.65 | 7d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1817 Lockhart Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2331 | $2,950 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1848 McCree St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $2,450 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1816 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2204 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1820 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $2,245 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1832 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $2,090 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1829 Pueblo St Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,350 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1736 Everglades Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2333 | $2,650 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1003 Windmill Farms Blvd Forney, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $2,170 | $2.01 | 1d | 37 | 1.34mi |
| 1123 Singletree Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1123 Singletree Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1111 Cumberland Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1002 Manassas Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1649 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1002 Manassas Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $1,999 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $65 · $780/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,459 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $339,459 Active 253 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $339,459 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $339,459 Active 251 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $339,459 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $339,459 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $339,459 Active 245 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $339,459 Active 244 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $339,459 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $339,459 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,459 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $339,459 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,459 Active 237 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $339,459 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-01-21price $339,459 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MLS# 21080204 - Built by First Texas Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-20price $339,459 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-20price $339,950 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-20price $339,950 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-12-23price $339,459 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-12-23price $339,459 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-11-08price $340,659 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MLS# 21080204 - Built by First Texas Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-11-07price $340,659 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-10-14$375,659 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
-
2025-10-07$375,659 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
MLS# 21080204 - Built by First Texas Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this beautifully designed single-level home offering 1,762 square feet of modern living space. Featuring four spacious bedrooms and two bathrooms, this residence boasts soaring 10-foot ceilings and an open-concept layout that creates a bright, inviting atmosphere. The gourmet-inspired kitchen is highlighted by a large island, ideal for entertaining and family gatherings, while the elegant living room fireplace adds warmth and style. With a two-car garage and versatile secondary bedrooms, this home perfectly blends luxury, comfort, and value. Schedule your tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,164 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,212 · $518/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,048/yr (+$254/mo · 96.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,015
- − Property taxes
- −$3,164
- − Insurance
- −$1,697
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,483
- − Management
- −$2,483
- − HOA
- −$780
- − Depreciation
- −$9,875
- Taxable loss
- −$8,456
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,029
- After-tax cash flow
- $-450/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $339,459 NTREIS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $339,459 Zillow
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $339,950 NTREIS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $339,950 Zillow
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $339,459 NTREIS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $339,459 Zillow
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $340,659 NTREIS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $340,659 Zillow
- 2025-10-14 Listed $375,659 Zillow
- 2025-10-07 Listed $375,659 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…