1236 Cabots Dr · Auburn, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$282,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 0.78 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $282k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($4/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in GA, #4,693 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Barrow County (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #77 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,427 units permitted in Barrow County in 2024 (311 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barrow County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($248k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.00%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $324,498
- List price
- $282,000
- Delta
- -13.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 Willow Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (0%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $200 | 74 |
| 1162 Pinebrook Rd | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,655 (+5%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $139 | 67 |
| 349 Kilcrease Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,738 (+11%) | 22mo | $329,900 | $190 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-46,944
- Equity at exit
- $42,047
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-45,999
- Equity at exit
- $24,382
Cash invested: $78,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30011
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,479
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,982/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $0
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,500
- Closing costs
- $8,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $282,000 Pending 245 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $282,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $282,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $282,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $282,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $282,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $282,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $282,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $282,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $288,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-04-24price $288,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-20price $294,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-20price $294,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-20price $297,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-20price $297,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-12-19price $300,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-12-19price $300,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-11-21price $309,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-11-21price $309,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-10-31price $319,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-10-31price $319,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-10-09$329,000 New 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-10-09$329,000 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Spacious multi-level home featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms with a 2-car garage. The inviting front porch leads into an open floor plan highlighted by a cozy fireplace in the living room and a kitchen bar perfect for casual dining. With some TLC and finishing touches such as flooring in select rooms, this property offers a fantastic opportunity to customize and make it your own. One or more photos have been virtually staged. Schedule a showing today!
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2021-11-23status Pending
-
2021-11-10soldstatus $295,800
-
2021-10-29soldstatus $295,800 Closed
-
2021-10-29soldstatus $295,800 Sold
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2021-10-12historical Active Under Contract
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2021-10-07status Under Contract
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2021-10-03$290,000 New
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2021-10-03$290,000 Active
-
2018-10-25soldstatus $160,200
-
1997-09-12soldstatus $89,900
-
1992-06-30soldstatus $74,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,982 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,982 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,796
- − Property taxes
- −$2,982
- − Insurance
- −$1,410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,242
- − Management
- −$2,242
- − Depreciation
- −$8,204
- Taxable loss
- −$4,849
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,164
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barrow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,082
- Composite
- 27.63/100
- National rank
- #6921
- State rank
- #77 of 174 in GA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #4693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, GA
- County
- Barrow County · 133,377 people
- City population
- 21,624
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,624
- Household income
- $86,402
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 234.0
Population outlook (Barrow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,670 people
- By 2030
- 92,039 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 101,992 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 110,075 · +27.0%
- By 2075
- 124,017 · +43.1%
- By 2100
- 127,579 · +47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Barrow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.5) · D 29.5% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -40.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.5 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+50.5 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.30%
- Current HPI
- 212.2609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.47%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+287.1% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $288,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $288,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $294,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $294,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $297,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $297,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $300,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $300,000 FMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $309,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $309,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $319,000 GAMLS
- 2025-10-31 Price Changed $319,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $329,000 FMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $329,000 GAMLS
- 2021-11-23 Pending — FMLS
- 2021-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $295,800 Public Records
- 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $295,800 GAMLS
- 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) $295,800 FMLS
- 2021-10-12 Contingent — FMLS
- 2021-10-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-10-03 Listed $290,000 GAMLS
- 2021-10-03 Listed $290,000 FMLS
- 2018-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $160,200 Public Records
- 1997-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 1992-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,982 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…