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301 Poe Ave
C+ Composite 60.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

301 Poe Ave · Poteau, OK 74953
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1982 0.57 ac lot Est $197k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 301 Poe Ave in Poteau, Oklahoma—located at the end of a quiet dead-end road, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers privacy with a convenient in-town location. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a bright sunroom, perfect for relaxing year-round. Step outside to a covered back porch ideal for outdoor activities, grilling, and spending time with family and friends. The property is highlighted by large pines and scattered mature shade trees, creating a beautiful park-like setting. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and dining, and just a short drive to Wister Lake, Poteau Mountain, and Sugar Loaf Mountain, this home offers both comfo

Key facts

  • 0.57 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1982

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in Poteau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#485 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Poteau (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 270 in OK (top 25%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Poteau Upper Es (math 45% / reading 36%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Poteau Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,521 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.80%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,730
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 Poe Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,910 (0%) 1mo $130,000 $68 99
110 Oakwood Dr 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,930 (+1%) 10mo $199,000 $103 79
104 Clark Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,802 (-6%) 6mo $226,000 $125 75
1804 Central St 0.25mi 3/2.0 2,006 (+5%) 8mo $175,000 $87 73
406 Hamilton St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,684 (-12%) 11mo $185,000 $110 46
104 Craigway St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,685 (-12%) 4mo $155,000 $92 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$36,419
Equity at exit
$78,009
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$106,132
Equity at exit
$129,178

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74953

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,187
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $218 -5% $175 +0% $133 +5% $90 +10% $48
Rent -10% $26 -5% $79 +0% $133 +5% $186 +10% $240
Rate -1.0pp $208 -0.5pp $171 base $133 +0.5pp $94 +1.0pp $54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-02
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,350 · $112/mo
Expected delta
+$286/yr (+$24/mo · 26.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,263
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,064
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$919
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$221
After-tax cash flow
$1,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poteau
NCES district ID
4024870
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,165
Composite
25.05/100
National rank
#7546
State rank
#68 of 270 in OK

Livability — Poteau

Score
57/100
State rank
#485
US rank
#22172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poteau, OK
Population (ZIP)
12,284

Population outlook (Le Flore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,504 people
By 2030
47,474 · -2.1%
By 2040
44,914 · -7.4%
By 2050
42,239 · -12.9%
By 2075
35,071 · -27.7%
By 2100
25,949 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 12% Native American 10% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Le Flore

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.0% · R 81.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+58.7 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.22%
Current HPI
252.3937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $150,000 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,064 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…