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234 Laurie Ln
C+ Composite 64.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

234 Laurie Ln · Amwell, PA 15301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured public records · 209 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition $47/sqft · 28% above area Est $35k · 28% over ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Landscaped yard
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHLANDSCAPED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Trinity Area SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #172 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.90%
Cap rate
26.33%
Cash-on-cash
71.55%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,029
List price
$45,000
Delta
28.46%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Laurie Ln 0.13mi 3/1.0 924 (-3%) 8mo $38,000 $41 83
14 Scott Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 924 (-3%) 9mo $23,500 $25 78
165 Laurie Ln 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 980 (+3%) 8mo $38,000 $39 74
9 Scott Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,008 (+6%) 22mo $27,000 $27 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.9%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$36,867
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
69.4%
Equity multiple
8.18×
Total profit
$90,504
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15301

Home prices YoY
-21.9%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $290/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$685

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $710 -5% $698 +0% $685 +5% $672 +10% $659
Rent -10% $582 -5% $633 +0% $685 +5% $736 +10% $788
Rate -1.0pp $708 -0.5pp $696 base $685 +0.5pp $673 +1.0pp $661

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 206 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 203 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 200 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 199 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 198 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 195 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 194 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 193 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 192 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 191 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $49,999 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  16. 2026-02-19
    price $50,499 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  17. 2026-01-05
    price $50,999 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  18. 2025-12-09
    status Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  19. 2025-11-25
    status Pending 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  20. 2025-11-21
    historical Contingent 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

  21. 2025-11-06
    listed $51,999 Active 524-char remark
    Show marketing remark (524 chars)

    Discover your perfect retreat in this delightful 3-year-old mobile home, featuring 2 cozy bedrooms and 2 modern baths. Enjoy morning coffee on your inviting covered front porch, while the beautifully landscaped yard provides an ideal space for relaxation and outdoor gatherings. With its contemporary design and comfortable living spaces, this home is perfect for anyone seeking a tranquil yet stylish lifestyle. Don’t miss your chance to call this gem your own! Schedule a viewing today and step into your dream home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$290 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$501 · $42/mo
Expected delta
+$210/yr (+$18/mo · 72.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,649
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$290
− Insurance
−$1,022
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$8,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,921
After-tax cash flow
$6,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-year-old mobile home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint and cleaning gutters would enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trinity Area SD
NCES district ID
4223760
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$55,734
Composite
43.24/100
National rank
#3056
State rank
#172 of 539 in PA

Livability — Amwell

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Washington County · 106,469 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
50,348
Household income
$70,473
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
1378.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.91%
Current HPI
238.6516
Rent YoY
▲ 3.38%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $49,999 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $50,499 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $50,999 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Relisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-25 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $51,999 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $290 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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