482 Kalynn Cir #18 · Fairborn, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are searching for a home in a 55+ senior community, we have just the home for you. Located at 482 kalynn circle this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home has your name on it. Drive into your 2 car garage and enter the home through the laundry room door. The laundry room opens up to the spacious kitchen with wonderful island and cabinets galore. All kitchen appliances convey with the home. The open concept kitchen, dining and living make the home so appealing and inviting. The home is heated and cooled via electric heat pump. The primary bedroom, bathroom and walk-in closet extend all across the back of the home approximately 27 sq. ft. The beautiful ensuite bathroom with the primary bedroom has a large, spacious walk-in shower, loads of storage and convenience. The second bath is located off the hall and is standard with tub/shower combo, great vanity with storage and very convenient to bedroom 2 and 3 plus the living area. This home has so many updates that you really must see what it offers, first hand.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Electric heat pump
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-39/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,782
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -9.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Kalynn Cir #30 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (0%) | 2mo | $230,900 | $155 | 94 |
| 479 Park Hills Xing #17 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,508 (+1%) | 5mo | $195,900 | $130 | 88 |
| 474 Kalynn Cir #19 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-6%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $137 | 84 |
| 441 Kalynn Cir #25 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+5%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $102 | 83 |
| 833 Savin Hill Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+8%) | 4mo | $307,500 | $191 | 65 |
| 268 Oxford Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,590 (+6%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 462 Faculty Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $164 | 61 |
| 1943 Fraternity Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+2%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $164 | 56 |
| 440 Glenhaven Way Unit 754-201 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-1%) | 12mo | $294,900 | $199 | 53 |
| 1990 Herky Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-10%) | 1mo | $230,500 | $171 | 51 |
| 218 Cambridge Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,324 (-11%) | 17mo | $177,500 | $134 | 47 |
| 2441 Dewpoint Cir | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (+12%) | 18mo | $400,000 | $239 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-26,121
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,556
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45324
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,649 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 Sycamore Dr Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1397 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 712 Hidden Valley Ct Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,325 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 18 Old Yellow Springs Rd Fairborn, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,200 | $1.49 | 14d | 9 | 0.62mi |
| 454 Glenhaven Way Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2394 New Germany Trebein Rd Unit 305 Beavercreek, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2250 Warbler Ln Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,906 | $1.55 | 2d | 12 | 0.93mi |
| 2335 Long Vista Ln Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,732 | $1.27 | 2d | 11 | 1.00mi |
| 55 Truman Dr Fairborn, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1354 | $1,545 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1678 Arden Bnd Fairborn, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $2,400 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1302 Hemmingway Dr Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,229 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $189,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $199,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $199,000
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
If you are searching for a home in a 55+ senior community, we have just the home for you. Located at 482 kalynn circle this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home has your name on it. Drive into your 2 car garage and enter the home through the laundry room door. The laundry room opens up to the spacious kitchen with wonderful island and cabinets galore. All kitchen appliances convey with the home. The open concept kitchen, dining and living make the home so appealing and inviting. The home is heated and cooled via electric heat pump. The primary bedroom, bathroom and walk-in closet extend all across the back of the home approximately 27 sq. ft. The beautiful ensuite bathroom with the primary bedroom has a large, spacious walk-in shower, loads of storage and convenience. The second bath is located off the hall and is standard with tub/shower combo, great vanity with storage and very convenient to bedroom 2 and 3 plus the living area. This home has so many updates that you really must see what it offers, first hand.
-
2026-04-17price $199,000 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
If you are searching for a home in a 55+ senior community, we have just the home for you. Located at 482 kalynn circle this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home has your name on it. Drive into your 2 car garage and enter the home through the laundry room door. The laundry room opens up to the spacious kitchen with wonderful island and cabinets galore. All kitchen appliances convey with the home. The open concept kitchen, dining and living make the home so appealing and inviting. The home is heated and cooled via electric heat pump. The primary bedroom, bathroom and walk-in closet extend all across the back of the home approximately 27 sq. ft. The beautiful ensuite bathroom with the primary bedroom has a large, spacious walk-in shower, loads of storage and convenience. The second bath is located off the hall and is standard with tub/shower combo, great vanity with storage and very convenient to bedroom 2 and 3 plus the living area. This home has so many updates that you really must see what it offers, first hand.
-
2026-03-12$213,900 Active
-
2025-12-02price $213,900 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
If you are searching for a home in a 55+ senior community, we have just the home for you. Located at 482 kalynn circle this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home has your name on it. Drive into your 2 car garage and enter the home through the laundry room door. The laundry room opens up to the spacious kitchen with wonderful island and cabinets galore. All kitchen appliances convey with the home. The open concept kitchen, dining and living make the home so appealing and inviting. The home is heated and cooled via electric heat pump. The primary bedroom, bathroom and walk-in closet extend all across the back of the home approximately 27 sq. ft. The beautiful ensuite bathroom with the primary bedroom has a large, spacious walk-in shower, loads of storage and convenience. The second bath is located off the hall and is standard with tub/shower combo, great vanity with storage and very convenient to bedroom 2 and 3 plus the living area. This home has so many updates that you really must see what it offers, first hand.
-
2025-12-02$209,900 Active 1018-char remark
Show marketing remark (1018 chars)
If you are searching for a home in a 55+ senior community, we have just the home for you. Located at 482 kalynn circle this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home has your name on it. Drive into your 2 car garage and enter the home through the laundry room door. The laundry room opens up to the spacious kitchen with wonderful island and cabinets galore. All kitchen appliances convey with the home. The open concept kitchen, dining and living make the home so appealing and inviting. The home is heated and cooled via electric heat pump. The primary bedroom, bathroom and walk-in closet extend all across the back of the home approximately 27 sq. ft. The beautiful ensuite bathroom with the primary bedroom has a large, spacious walk-in shower, loads of storage and convenience. The second bath is located off the hall and is standard with tub/shower combo, great vanity with storage and very convenient to bedroom 2 and 3 plus the living area. This home has so many updates that you really must see what it offers, first hand.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,790
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,835
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,583
- − Management
- −$1,583
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,241
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$778
- After-tax cash flow
- $739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in a 55+ senior community is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. Minor touch-ups and cleaning could further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairborn City
- NCES district ID
- 3904396
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,091
- Composite
- 36.05/100
- National rank
- #4772
- State rank
- #520 of 656 in OH
Livability — Fairborn
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #6101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairborn, OH
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 41,194
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,194
- Household income
- $64,979
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1472.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.48%
- Current HPI
- 228.0801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-5.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $199,000 WRIST
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $199,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $213,900 WRIST
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $213,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $209,900 Dayton MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…