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2247 Grand Ave Duplex
A Composite 87.09
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,000

2247 Grand Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,858 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1932 4,375 sqft lot $91/sqft · 30% below area Est $243k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained two-family home in Niagara Falls, conveniently located just off Hyde Park Blvd on a quiet, tree-lined street. The property features a spacious 3-bedroom lower unit and a 2-bedroom upper unit, making it ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking strong rental income. Major capital updates are already done: a brand-new roof (less than 5 years old), all new furnaces, and new hot water tanks for both units. The lower unit was updated a few years ago with new carpeting, offering a clean and comfortable living space. The stucco exterior provides durability and low maintenance, and the oversized three-car garage is a rare bonus. The dry basement adds real value, featuring a bonus kitchen and flexible space perfect for storage, recreation, or extended living use. Walkable to shopping, schools, parks, and everyday amenities, yet tucked away on a peaceful residential street. Strong income potential or a smart opportunity to live in one unit while renting the other to offset your mortgage. A solid, no-nonsense multi-family with updates where they matter most.

Key facts

  • New hot water tanks
  • Two-family home
  • New furnaces

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMENEW ROOFNEW FURNACESNEW HOT WATER TANKSUPDATED LOWER UNITSTUCCO EXTERIOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $317/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,441/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $169k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $158,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.10%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,013
List price
$169,000
Delta
-30.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2449 Grand Ave 0.13mi 5/2.0 1,918 (+3%) 4mo $135,000 $70 85
541 20th St 0.27mi 5/2.0 1,917 (+3%) 1mo $112,000 $58 82
2459 La Salle Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,920 (+3%) 2mo $160,000 $83 74
609 24th St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (+8%) 4mo $140,000 $70 71
2219 Walnut Ave 0.18mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,023 (+9%) 4mo $62,500 $31 64
1535 Pierce Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,724 (-7%) 2mo $35,000 $20 54
1623 Linwood Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,994 (+7%) 3mo $100,000 $50 51
2443 Pierce Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,112 (+14%) 4mo $120,000 $57 50
2208 Weston Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+8%) 1mo $55,000 $27 49
420 18th St 0.55mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,632 (-12%) 3mo $115,000 $70 45
2463 South Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+8%) 3mo $137,500 $68 45
1867 Michigan Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,100 (+13%) 2mo $87,000 $41 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$145,486
Equity at exit
$152,249
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
10.06×
Total profit
$428,824
Equity at exit
$328,330

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,441 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$337 /mo · $4,043/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$513
Net cashflow
$635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,637
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $730 -5% $683 +0% $635 +5% $587 +10% $539
Rent -10% $442 -5% $538 +0% $635 +5% $731 +10% $828
Rate -1.0pp $720 -0.5pp $678 base $635 +0.5pp $591 +1.0pp $546

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 17d 1 0.21mi
2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,390 $1.07 2d 1 0.75mi
3225 Belden Pl Niagara Falls, NY 5.0 1.5 1344 $1,750 $1.30 2d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $169,000 Pending 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-04-07
    historical
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    Well-maintained two-family home in Niagara Falls, conveniently located just off Hyde Park Blvd on a quiet, tree-lined street. The property features a spacious 3-bedroom lower unit and a 2-bedroom upper unit, making it ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking strong rental income. Major capital updates are already done: a brand-new roof (less than 5 years old), all new furnaces, and new hot water tanks for both units. The lower unit was updated a few years ago with new carpeting, offering a clean and comfortable living space. The stucco exterior provides durability and low maintenance, and the oversized three-car garage is a rare bonus. The dry basement adds real value, featuring a bonus kitchen and flexible space perfect for storage, recreation, or extended living use. Walkable to shopping, schools, parks, and everyday amenities, yet tucked away on a peaceful residential street. Strong income potential or a smart opportunity to live in one unit while renting the other to offset your mortgage. A solid, no-nonsense multi-family with updates where they matter most.

  8. 2026-04-07
    listed $169,000 Active 1084-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1084 chars)

    Well-maintained two-family home in Niagara Falls, conveniently located just off Hyde Park Blvd on a quiet, tree-lined street. The property features a spacious 3-bedroom lower unit and a 2-bedroom upper unit, making it ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking strong rental income. Major capital updates are already done: a brand-new roof (less than 5 years old), all new furnaces, and new hot water tanks for both units. The lower unit was updated a few years ago with new carpeting, offering a clean and comfortable living space. The stucco exterior provides durability and low maintenance, and the oversized three-car garage is a rare bonus. The dry basement adds real value, featuring a bonus kitchen and flexible space perfect for storage, recreation, or extended living use. Walkable to shopping, schools, parks, and everyday amenities, yet tucked away on a peaceful residential street. Strong income potential or a smart opportunity to live in one unit while renting the other to offset your mortgage. A solid, no-nonsense multi-family with updates where they matter most.

  9. 2026-01-21
    listed $169,000 Active
  10. 2004-10-27
    soldstatus $55,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,043 · $337/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,043 · $337/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,292
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$4,043
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,343
− Management
−$2,343
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$5,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,280
After-tax cash flow
$6,337/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+204.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $169,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $169,000 WNYREIS
  • 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,043 · -22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…