435 Frances St · Jacksonville, NC
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don& apos; t miss this move-in ready gem nestled on a desirable corner lot in the friendly Holiday City community! This 2014 Clayton Schult singlewide offers 1,216 square feet of well-appointed living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; all for just $30,000. The open feel of this home is complemented by a ceiling fan in the living room, keeping things cool and comfortable year-round. The kitchen is fully equipped with a mounted microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, and electric range & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; everything you need from day one! Retreat to the spacious primary bedroom featuring a walk-in closet and a luxurious spa-style
Key facts
- Ceiling fan
- Electric range
- Dishwasher
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 38.6% vs local median 4.4% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#111 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 604 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 115.23%
- DSCR
- 6.13
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.17×
- Total profit
- $43,461
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.32×
- Total profit
- $103,469
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28546
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 604
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $740
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553 Corbin St Lot A-633 Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $48,000 | $39.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 553 Corbin St Lot A-255 Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $18,000 | $20.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 553 Corbin St Unit B-505D4 Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,045 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 553 Corbin St Lot A-620 Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $20,000 | $20.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 553 Corbin St Lot A-334 Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $15,000 | $15.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 553 Corbin St Lot A-634 Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $12,000 | $12.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 553 Corbin St Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,045 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 131 Cornerstone Pl Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 928 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 104 Spring Meadows Cir Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 301 Village Dr Jacksonville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,095 | $1.51 | 13d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 106 Pinegrove Ct Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 148 Corey Cir Unit 148 Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,200 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 507 Birchwood Ct Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,525 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 120 Palace Cir Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 236 White Oak Blvd Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 209 Mesa Ln Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,350 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 110 Sycamore Dr Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 977 W Pueblo Dr Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 981 W Pueblo Dr Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1110 Pueblo Dr Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 821 Shadowridge Rd Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $750 | $0.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2033 Brandymill Ln Jacksonville, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-12$30,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,402
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $8,987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,157
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready singlewide is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics, attracting more buyers/renters.
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics, attracting more buyers/renters. ↑
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #6991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, NC
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- City population
- 96,397
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,256
- Household income
- $63,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1830.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.75%
- Current HPI
- 211.9993
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…