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11512 Blue Ridge Blvd
C Composite 56.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

11512 Blue Ridge Blvd · Kansas City, MO 64134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1950 1.36 ac lot $123/sqft · 11% below area Est $178k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.

Key facts

  • 1.36 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (1.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Hickman Mills C-1 (urban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #314 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $157,377 (1.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.68%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,499
List price
$159,000
Delta
-10.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11804 Fuller Ave 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,292 (-0%) 0mo $200,000 $155 76
11916 Armitage Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,292 (-0%) 0mo $170,000 $132 73
11705 Belmont Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,414 (+9%) 1mo $209,000 $148 64
7002 E 112 St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,394 (+8%) 4mo $199,000 $143 63
11115 Winchester Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-9%) 1mo $154,900 $132 60
12005 Belmont Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-8%) 1mo $225,000 $188 56
11014 Cambridge Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-4%) 1mo $184,900 $148 55
12011 Belmont Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,196 (-8%) 1mo $198,000 $166 55
11112 Winchester Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-7%) 4mo $180,000 $150 51
10918 Ewing Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-9%) 2mo $184,900 $157 46
11206 Corrington Ave 0.65mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,176 (-9%) 3mo $144,900 $123 45
11504 Manchester Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,126 (-13%) 1mo $174,900 $155 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,224
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$38,957
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64134

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,588/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,307
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6904 Longview Rd Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 2d 1 0.25mi
11720 Newton Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0–3.0 1.5–3.0 1293 $1,699 $1.31 2d 9 0.28mi
11803 Holiday Dr #5 Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0 1016 $1,130 $1.11 2d 1 0.29mi
11407 Winchester Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,360 $1.45 3d 1 0.33mi
7104 Longview Rd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,275 $1.40 15d 1 0.38mi
6905 E 112th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 972 $1,550 $1.59 44d 1 0.42mi
11127 Blue Ridge Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,599 $1.60 44d 1 0.46mi
6731 E 119th St Grandview, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,150 $1.51 2d 14 0.48mi
6201 E Red Bridge Rd Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1592 $1,645 $1.03 16d 1 0.56mi
7114 E 112th St Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 936 $1,850 $1.98 24d 1 0.58mi
11009 Ewing Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1416 $1,595 $1.13 44d 1 0.63mi
11513 Richmond Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1114 $1,450 $1.30 15d 1 0.63mi
7119 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,349 $1.48 44d 1 0.65mi
11805 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,565 $1.36 24d 1 0.65mi
11206 Corrington Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.5 1176 $1,595 $1.36 24d 1 0.66mi
11410 Palmer Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 44d 1 0.74mi
11116 Bristol Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 956 $1,390 $1.45 24d 1 0.74mi
7305 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 15d 1 0.75mi
11421 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1176 $1,550 $1.32 4d 1 0.75mi
7405 E 112th St Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 936 $1,850 $1.98 44d 1 0.78mi
7610 E 113th St Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,700 $1.45 44d 1 0.82mi
11210 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 24d 1 0.91mi
11406 Sycamore Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 16d 1 0.92mi
7415 E 110th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,385 $1.18 2d 1 0.93mi
7801 E 113th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1341 $1,450 $1.08 16d 1 0.94mi
5705 E 109th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1545 $1,395 $0.90 44d 1 0.94mi
11354 Sycamore Ter Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1176 $1,850 $1.57 2d 1 0.95mi
11923 Manchester Ave Grandview, MO 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,815 $1.29 44d 1 0.99mi
7605 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,050 $0.89 2d 1 1.00mi
10712 Bennington Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,395 $1.53 16d 1 1.00mi
10716 Ewing Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1032 $1,550 $1.50 44d 1 1.00mi
8006 E 118th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1132 $1,450 $1.28 20d 1 1.02mi
11934 Sycamore Ave Grandview, MO 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,806 $1.28 44d 1 1.04mi
7800 E 112th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 1.08mi
11208 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,395 $1.53 3d 1 1.10mi
11316 Donnelly Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 44d 1 1.11mi
11206 Norby Rd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,375 $1.34 24d 1 1.18mi
8310 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 16d 1 1.19mi
8410 Ruskin Way Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1176 $1,850 $1.57 16d 1 1.20mi
8304 E 110 Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,450 $1.59 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 365-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $159,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 235 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 234 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 233 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 229 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 228 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 227 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 226 DOM
  15. 2026-03-26
    price $159,000 119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.

  16. 2025-10-16
    listed $179,000 Active 119-char remark
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.

  17. 2023-06-26
    soldstatus
  18. 2011-01-03
    soldstatus
  19. 2009-10-07
    historical
  20. 2009-04-04
    listed $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,588 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,588 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,885
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,588
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$52
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$12
After-tax cash flow
$2,543/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hickman Mills C-1
NCES district ID
2914340
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,908
Composite
11.2/100
National rank
#9725
State rank
#314 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
22,964
Household income
$58,170
Rent vs Own
47.4% rent · 52.6% own
Severe rent burden
718.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -157.94%
Current HPI
277.895
Rent YoY
▲ 6.73%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-16 Listed $179,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-10-07 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-04-04 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,588 · -31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…