11512 Blue Ridge Blvd · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.
Key facts
- 1.36 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $157k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Hickman Mills C-1 (urban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #314 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.68%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,499
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -10.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11804 Fuller Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,292 (-0%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $155 | 76 |
| 11916 Armitage Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (-0%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $132 | 73 |
| 11705 Belmont Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+9%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 7002 E 112 St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (+8%) | 4mo | $199,000 | $143 | 63 |
| 11115 Winchester Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-9%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $132 | 60 |
| 12005 Belmont Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $188 | 56 |
| 11014 Cambridge Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 1mo | $184,900 | $148 | 55 |
| 12011 Belmont Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,196 (-8%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $166 | 55 |
| 11112 Winchester Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $150 | 51 |
| 10918 Ewing Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-9%) | 2mo | $184,900 | $157 | 46 |
| 11206 Corrington Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (-9%) | 3mo | $144,900 | $123 | 45 |
| 11504 Manchester Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,126 (-13%) | 1mo | $174,900 | $155 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,224
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $38,957
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64134
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,574 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,588/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6904 Longview Rd Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11720 Newton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1293 | $1,699 | $1.31 | 2d | 9 | 0.28mi |
| 11803 Holiday Dr #5 Kansas City, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,130 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 11407 Winchester Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,360 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7104 Longview Rd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,275 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 6905 E 112th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 11127 Blue Ridge Blvd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,599 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6731 E 119th St Grandview, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,150 | $1.51 | 2d | 14 | 0.48mi |
| 6201 E Red Bridge Rd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $1,645 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7114 E 112th St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,850 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11009 Ewing Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,595 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11513 Richmond Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7119 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,349 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11805 Lawndale Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,565 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 11206 Corrington Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 11410 Palmer Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 11116 Bristol Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,390 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7305 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 11421 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,550 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7405 E 112th St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,850 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7610 E 113th St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11210 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 11406 Sycamore Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7415 E 110th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,385 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7801 E 113th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5705 E 109th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1545 | $1,395 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 11354 Sycamore Ter Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,850 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 11923 Manchester Ave Grandview, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,815 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7605 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10712 Bennington Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10716 Ewing Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,550 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8006 E 118th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1132 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11934 Sycamore Ave Grandview, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,806 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7800 E 112th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 11208 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11316 Donnelly Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 11206 Norby Rd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,375 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8310 E 111th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8410 Ruskin Way Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,850 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8304 E 110 Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 365-char remark
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2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-03-26price $159,000 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.
-
2025-10-16$179,000 Active 119-char remark
Show marketing remark (119 chars)
This 1.15 acre property is a great investment opportunity. Current use is Residential. Current zoning is B1-1 and R7.5.
-
2023-06-26soldstatus
-
2011-01-03soldstatus
-
2009-10-07historical
-
2009-04-04$100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,588 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,588 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,588
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,511
- − Management
- −$1,511
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$52
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$12
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hickman Mills C-1
- NCES district ID
- 2914340
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,908
- Composite
- 11.2/100
- National rank
- #9725
- State rank
- #314 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $58,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 718.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.94%
- Current HPI
- 277.895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.73%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+59.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Listed $179,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-10-07 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-04 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,588 · -31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…