185 NW Harwood St Spc 3 · Prineville, OR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home in Queens Garden Mobile Park, a 55+ park in the heart of Prineville! This home features a large living space with the living room open to the dining area and kitchen. Some fresh paint, A large primary bedroom and bathroom on one side of the home and 2 bedrooms and a bath on the other, a heat pump to keep you cool in the summer and warm in the winter, and a large carport to keep your vehicle protected from the weather. The front porch is covered and there is a shed for storage! Give us a call today!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Shed for storage
- Heat pump
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $435
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community; CC&Rs apply
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt and concrete driveway; Detached carport
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Mobile home (double wide) located in a park; One level; May remain in park; Built in 1992
- Construction: Composition roof; Metal skirting; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced lot; Shed(s); Double pane windows with vinyl frames
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (includes a primary bedroom)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air; Heat pump (provides heating and central air)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Shower/tub combo; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.1% in Prineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#117 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F, employment F.
- Crook County SD (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #19 of 58 in OR (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crook County Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 617 students, 36% FRL); Crook County High School (830 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 53% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 142 units permitted in Crook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Crook County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $175k implies a 1159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,552
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 NW Harwood St #23 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+5%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $116 | 86 |
| 185 NW Harwood St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+5%) | 14mo | $159,000 | $123 | 75 |
| 185 NW Harwood Ave Unit Sp 4 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+5%) | 14mo | $159,000 | $123 | 75 |
| 185 NW Harwood Ave #98 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $139 | 73 |
| 185 NW Harwood Ave #13 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-4%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $136 | 73 |
| 185 NW Harwood St #11 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 15mo | $164,540 | $152 | 67 |
| 941 NW Cains Rd | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-4%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $261 | 62 |
| 650 NW Harwood St Unit 29 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (0%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 555 NW Beaver St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-4%) | 22mo | $355,000 | $299 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,134
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $20,918
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97754
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 534
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $620/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275 SW 2nd St Apt 1 Prineville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 197 SW 4th St Prineville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 212 SE 5th St Unit 14 Prineville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,250 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 288 SE 5th St Prineville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1430 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 850 NW 10th St Apt 19 Prineville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,275 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 899 NW 10th St Prineville, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 250 NE Saint Charles Way Prineville, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,260 | $2.41 | 13d | 185 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-23status Active
-
2026-04-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-30$185,000 Active
-
2002-12-18soldstatus $13,900
-
2002-05-31soldstatus $35,000
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $25,350
-
2000-07-25soldstatus $28,500
-
2000-03-20soldstatus $40,000
-
1999-05-24soldstatus $31,000
-
1999-05-14soldstatus $31,500
-
1999-04-06soldstatus $18,000
-
1998-10-13soldstatus $27,569
-
1998-08-26soldstatus $19,000
-
1998-02-19soldstatus $28,000
-
1997-11-06soldstatus $39,500
-
1997-10-20soldstatus $14,000
-
1997-10-01soldstatus $46,000
-
1997-09-22soldstatus $25,000
-
1997-06-02soldstatus $30,000
-
1997-04-15soldstatus $32,000
-
1997-03-03soldstatus $14,900
-
1996-09-11soldstatus $26,000
-
1996-06-05soldstatus $24,000
-
1996-04-11soldstatus $34,000
-
1996-02-21soldstatus $22,800
-
1996-01-16soldstatus $21,895
-
1995-12-07soldstatus $42,000
-
1995-12-07soldstatus $27,000
-
1995-11-29soldstatus $46,370
-
1995-09-25soldstatus $20,000
-
1995-08-08soldstatus $42,000
-
1995-06-26soldstatus $28,000
-
1995-05-11soldstatus $26,000
-
1995-01-26soldstatus $21,600
-
1995-01-20soldstatus $41,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $620 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,078/yr (+$90/mo · 173.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$620
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$159
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crook County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4103720
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,394
- Composite
- 33.22/100
- National rank
- #5527
- State rank
- #19 of 58 in OR
Livability — Prineville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #6885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prineville, OR
- County
- Crook County · 22,960 people
- City population
- 22,960
- Metro
- Prineville, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,960
- Household income
- $77,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 481.0
Population outlook (Crook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,232 people
- By 2030
- 23,833 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 24,531 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 24,639 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 24,026 · +3.4%
- By 2100
- 21,419 · -7.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Crook
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 23.5% · R 74.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.4pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+48.5 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+36.5 2008: R+26.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.01%
- Current HPI
- 533.6457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Prineville, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+428.6% since first listed46 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — MLSCO
- 2026-01-30 Listed $185,000 MLSCO
- 2002-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $13,900 Public Records
- 2002-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,350 Public Records
- 2000-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
- 2000-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
- 1999-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $27,569 Public Records
- 1998-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 1997-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1997-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1997-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
- 1996-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1996-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $22,800 Public Records
- 1996-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $21,895 Public Records
- 1995-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 1995-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1995-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $46,370 Public Records
- 1995-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1995-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1995-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $21,600 Public Records
- 1995-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1994-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1994-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $22,855 Public Records
- 1994-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1994-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $20,610 Public Records
- 1994-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1992-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+24.4%/yrLatest (2025): $620 · +159.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…