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82 Wagner Ave
C- Composite 53.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$155,000

82 Wagner Ave · Montgomery, PA 17752
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,462 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1901 4,356 sqft lot $106/sqft · at area comps Est $154k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers a wonderful blend of character, comfort, and investment potential! Inside, you'll find beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and timeless appeal throughout much of the home. Enjoy relaxing on the covered front porch or on the rear deck. There is a fenced-in yard -- perfect for pets. Additional features include a detached one-car garage, replacement windows, efficient gas heat, a durable metal roof installed in 2013, and a new sewer main completed in 2017 for added peace of mind. Located in Flood Zone X, this property does not require flood insurance. Currently occupied with fantastic long-term tenants, this property presents an excellent op

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Rear deck
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCHREAR DECKFENCED-IN YARDDETACHED ONE-CAR GARAGEREPLACEMENT WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential property; R1 zoning
  • Construction: Frame construction with aluminum siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built area above grade: 1,462
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (4.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#727 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Montgomery Area SD (town): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #180 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Montgomery El Sch (math 47% / reading 58%, grade C-, #578 of 1,518 statewide, top 38%, 523 students, 48% FRL); Montgomery Jshs (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #196 of 437 statewide, top 47%, 417 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,543 (4.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
3.00%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,898
List price
$155,000
Delta
0.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47 N Main St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,448 (-1%) 4mo $97,500 $67 77
82 Broad St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-12%) 2mo $134,000 $105 73
54 Broad St 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 13mo $165,000 $123 70
65 E Houston Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,632 (+12%) 5mo $176,000 $108 66
48 Old Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,492 (+2%) 13mo $160,000 $107 53
20 Brook St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-8%) 20mo $135,000 $100 52
1934 Pinchtown Rd 0.64mi 3/3.0 1,456 (-0%) 18mo $131,000 $90 49
15 Brook St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,326 (-9%) 23mo $153,000 $115 46
130 W Houston Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,513 (+4%) 19mo $207,500 $137 44
288 Stryker Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+15%) 11mo $173,000 $103 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$32,497
Equity at exit
$77,035
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$97,804
Equity at exit
$124,774

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17752

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,156/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,338
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $196 -5% $152 +0% $109 +5% $65 +10% $21
Rent -10% $-8 -5% $50 +0% $109 +5% $167 +10% $225
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $148 base $109 +0.5pp $68 +1.0pp $27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69 Broad St Montgomery, PA 3.0 1.5 1448 $1,665 $1.15 16d 1 0.09mi
56 Penn St Unit 58 Montgomery, PA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,195 $1.12 45d 1 0.33mi
25 N Main St Montgomery, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $865 $0.72 16d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $155,000 Active 784-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,156 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,302 · $192/mo
Expected delta
+$147/yr (+$12/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,705
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,156
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,416
− Management
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$300
After-tax cash flow
$1,602/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery Area SD
NCES district ID
4215660
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$49,345
Composite
42.69/100
National rank
#3172
State rank
#180 of 539 in PA

Livability — Montgomery

Score
71/100
State rank
#727
US rank
#7279

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,867

Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,164 people
By 2030
112,221 · -1.7%
By 2040
107,613 · -5.7%
By 2050
102,950 · -9.8%
By 2075
92,987 · -18.5%
By 2100
80,924 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.83%
Current HPI
241.8799
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending WBVAR
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $155,000 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,156 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…