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2730 S 4th St 5-Plex
C- Composite 50.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$410,000

2730 S 4th St · Louisville, KY 40208
None bd · 10.0 ba · 3,440 sqft · MultiFamily · 213 Days on market
Built 1925 2,275 sqft lot Est $347k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property with lots of potential. Needs a lot of interior work. There are five one bedroom units, three on the first floor and two on the second.

Key facts

  • Long-term tenants
  • Turnkey property
  • Solid rental history

Tags

5-PLEX INVESTMENTFULLY RENTED MULTI-FAMILYLONG-TERM TENANTSSOLID RENTAL HISTORYRECENT RENOVATIONSTURNKEY PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 65
  • Financial info: Multi-unit property with separate meters; First level contains 3 total units
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking: No
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Owner pays electric, gas, sewer, trash removal, and water for tenants; Tenants pay cable
  • Home design: Apartment; Built in 1925; Shingle roof; Brick construction; Building area approximately 3,440 total
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1925
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total bedrooms: 0
  • Bathrooms: One full bath on the first level; One full bath on the second level
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless minisplit heating; Wall/window cooling units; Five furnaces
  • Interior features: Apartment property type; Traditional architectural style; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × ?-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $410k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $873 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $175/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $410k).
  • Recommended offer: $361k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,195/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $115k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($361k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $410k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $360,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.12%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$347,440
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2728 Taylor Blvd 0.38mi 5/3.0 3,290 (-4%) 3mo $225,000 $68 52
2718 S 3rd St 0.09mi 5/3.0 3,073 (-11%) 23mo $310,000 $101 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$2,275
Equity at exit
$61,132
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.14×
Total profit
$130,994
Equity at exit
$35,449

Cash invested: $114,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40208

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
40.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,195 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,150
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,446/yr
Insurance
$171
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$881
Net cashflow
$873

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,090
Max offer price $410,000
Occupancy floor 74%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $4,195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$102,500
Closing costs
$12,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1479 S 4th St Unit 2A Louisville, KY 2.0 1.0 2400 $2,200 $0.92 16d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $410,000 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $410,000 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $410,000 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $410,000 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $410,000 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $410,000 Active 205 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $410,000 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $410,000 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $410,000 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $410,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $410,000 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $410,000 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $410,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    price $410,000
  15. 2025-11-09
    price $420,000
  16. 2025-06-23
    listed $420,000 Active
  17. 2011-02-24
    soldstatus $41,000
  18. 2011-02-21
    soldstatus $41,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Great investment property with lots of potential. Needs a lot of interior work. There are five one bedroom units, three on the first floor and two on the second.

  19. 2010-11-01
    listed $70,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Great investment property with lots of potential. Needs a lot of interior work. There are five one bedroom units, three on the first floor and two on the second.

  20. 2010-10-31
    historical
  21. 2010-07-01
    listed $70,000
  22. 2010-06-30
    historical
  23. 2010-02-01
    listed $70,000
  24. 2010-01-31
    historical
  25. 2009-11-02
    listed $70,000
  26. 2009-10-31
    historical
  27. 2009-05-15
    listed $85,000
  28. 2008-12-21
    historical
  29. 2008-10-06
    listed $105,000
  30. 2007-07-26
    soldstatus $93,000
  31. 2007-05-02
    listed $99,900
  32. 2007-04-20
    historical
  33. 2006-09-20
    listed $99,900
  34. 2005-06-06
    historical
  35. 2005-04-07
    historical
  36. 2005-04-06
    listed $99,900
  37. 2004-12-10
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,446 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,526 · $294/mo
Expected delta
+$2,080/yr (+$173/mo · 143.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,340
− Mortgage interest
−$22,966
− Property taxes
−$1,446
− Insurance
−$2,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,027
− Management
−$4,027
− Depreciation
−$11,927
Taxable income
$3,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$935
After-tax cash flow
$9,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
15,605
Household income
$39,560
Rent vs Own
73.8% rent · 26.2% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.97%
Current HPI
240.6261
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+310.4% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $410,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $420,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $420,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2011-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 2011-02-21 Sold (MLS) $41,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-11-01 Listed $70,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-10-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-07-01 Listed $70,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-06-30 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-02-01 Listed $70,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2010-01-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2009-11-02 Listed $70,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2009-10-31 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2009-05-15 Listed $85,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2008-12-21 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2008-10-06 Listed $105,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-07-26 Sold (MLS) $93,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-05-02 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-04-20 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2006-09-20 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2005-06-06 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2005-04-07 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2005-04-06 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2004-12-10 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,446 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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